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Started By
Message
2
Posted on 6/3/20 at 12:54 pm to Coloradeaux
Anyone have a current cone?
ETA: Nvm, I see it on the first page. That's a strong cone. Hasn't wavered.
ETA: Nvm, I see it on the first page. That's a strong cone. Hasn't wavered.
This post was edited on 6/3/20 at 12:56 pm
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:00 pm to OysterPoBoy
The EURO is running now. I can't wait to see if it jumps on board with the other overnight model runs in keeping it weak and sheared or if it sticks to its guns with a strong tropical storm/minimal hurricane. We'll see soon.
This post was edited on 6/3/20 at 1:10 pm
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:01 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
We'll see soon
When does it come out?
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:02 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
UKMET, although not as reliable as the EURO, is a reliable model per meteorologists on another site I’ve been reading. I don’t know if I can name that site though.
If you're talking about storm2k, that's the biggest group of wishcasters ever. If it aint going to texas or florida, they shite all over it.
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:02 pm to Coloradeaux
Seems like quite a few of us with plans to OBA this weekend. We are heading over Saturday-Saturday. Already rescheduled once thanks to Covid, this thing isn't changing our minds.
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:04 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
If you're talking about storm2k
No, not them. I don't even use that site.
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:05 pm to TDsngumbo
Request OP To Change name to Cristobaw
He's heading straight there
Going to New Iberia
He's heading straight there
Going to New Iberia
This post was edited on 6/3/20 at 1:31 pm
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:10 pm to MikeBRLA
quote:
When does it come out?
It's rolling out now.
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:12 pm to TDsngumbo
quote:
The EURO is running now. I can't wait to see if it jumps on board with the other overnight model runs in keeping it weak and sheared or if it sticks to its guns with a strong tropical storm/minimal hurricane. We'll see soon.
Edit:
He's 100 or so miles further west over the Gulf after exiting Mexico than before. I bet LA/TX border is in play again.
6z was a Cat 1 into central LA coast. 12z appears to be the same result so far.
84 hours - 989 mbs
96 hours - 987 mbs
This post was edited on 6/3/20 at 1:16 pm
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:15 pm to lsugolfredman
quote:
6z was a Cat 1 into central LA coast. 12z appears to be the same result so far. 989 mb on high res at 84 hours.
Yea, I think I had it confused with one of the other models. I edited that once I realized I was wrong.
There, OT, I was wrong. Finally.
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:16 pm to paperwasp
I love that Fox8 graphic asking civilians to clear storm drains in New Orleans. 
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:16 pm to lsugolfredman
Has it stronger at 96 hours than the previous runs. Looks like a larger wind field, basically due south of Terrebonne.
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:16 pm to AverageJoe26
Yep. A bit stronger indeed.
Edit:
Into Vermillion Bay as a 990 mb tropical storm.
Edit:
Into Vermillion Bay as a 990 mb tropical storm.
This post was edited on 6/3/20 at 1:22 pm
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:21 pm to AverageJoe26
Euro Cristobal = Barry
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:26 pm to slackster
Cristobaw Might have a shot at hurricane strength for one advisory at Landfall or before?
This post was edited on 6/3/20 at 1:40 pm
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:27 pm to lsugolfredman
Circulation holds together better coming off Mexico, but it ends up dealing with the shear and the dry air anyway. 990-987 landfall for the Euro.
Moderate tropical storm into Morgan City/Vermilion Bay is what everything is converging toward.
Moderate tropical storm into Morgan City/Vermilion Bay is what everything is converging toward.
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:27 pm to TDsngumbo
GFS has it stalling out deeper into landfall too
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:37 pm to Duke
Duke I've seen a few model runs try and take it on that left hook path towards TX as it approaches the coast. Is that a trend or just outliers at this point? Guessing it has to do with how strong the high pressure is.
Posted on 6/3/20 at 1:38 pm to deuce985
The EURO shows much of the BR area experiencing maximum gusts from 30-50 mph and closer to 60mph along the coast for much of the day Monday.
3"-5" of rain for BR area with a bullseye of 9" just west of New Orleans.
3"-5" of rain for BR area with a bullseye of 9" just west of New Orleans.
This post was edited on 6/3/20 at 1:40 pm
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