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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:14 am to MAXtheTIGER
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:14 am to MAXtheTIGER
Was expecting the 4 am update to be much worse than it is. Guess it’s waiting to pounce with the knock out later.
1
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:15 am to LSU-MNCBABY
Well no shite… She’s moving here today but I told her to hold off. Where she will be working is likely going to need her to come in this week but trying to get into BR later this week will be a nightmare so she’s going to ride it out w me. Not ideal situation as a welcome home party but that’s where we’re at
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:15 am to MAXtheTIGER
quote:
You can tell things are getting serious around here when the dick sucking stops and the hurricane talk starts
Yep, the mood here has definitely changed.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:16 am to nolaTiger24
quote:
-10 east at I-12 merger in Slidell is currently at 5 mph
My very good friend from
High school was hit by a drunk driver last night in Slidell on 10. Totaled her car. She was trying to evac. Now she is stuck in town for the storm.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:16 am to tigafan4life
quote:
m I correct in saying that Br will now be on the west side of the storm now? Or because the eye will pass over close by that it will still be a shite show?
Technically with this forecast were back in the east side, but the swings are so small it's kind of a moot point. BR is getting the eye.
quote:
We have such big trees around us and while none fell with Gustov or Andrew I feel this may be stronger than those two.
This will easily be the strongest storm BR has seen, at least in recent history. Gustav went well west and was cat2 at landfall. Andrew was cat2 at landfall and a tropical storm in 10 hours. BR saw Andrews eye but it was not this strong.
Expect trees to fall. Ground is already saturated, and BR will be inundated with rain as Ida approaches. At least go somewhere with no trees around the house.
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 6:18 am
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:16 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
quote:
You can tell things are getting serious around here when the dick sucking stops and the hurricane talk starts
Yep, the mood here has definitely changed.
Yep. Once the track locks in shite gets real.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:16 am to lsursb
quote:
Was expecting the 4 am update to be much worse than it is. Guess it’s waiting to pounce with the knock out later
Honestly I went to sleep expecting to wake up and find BR 30 miles to the west of the track. Was kinda surprised it moved to about 20 miles to our west. In my opinion, the 4am update was worse, especially because now it’s expected to be a category 2 near donaldsonville/plaquenine with sustained wind of 100mph. That’s significant. Very significant.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:18 am to TDsngumbo
Wonder if it will move again or if they are saying this will be the track. Hoping it doesn’t move back closer to us in BR.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:18 am to BOSCEAUX
Just moved to Birmingham from New Orleans 3 months ago. Luckily we have a good bit of extra space. Think we have 15-20 family members coming to stay with us.
Best of luck to everyone in the path
Best of luck to everyone in the path
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:18 am to otowntiger
quote:
I don’t know man. The NHC started introducing the idea that dry air may start being pulled into it closer to landfall. If that happens, lots of prayers will have been heard
agreed- and this could very well happen thereby not only reducing rain totals but the very intense winds could be knocked down even more than usual for a large landfalling storm. I still think there is a decent possibility of this which would ‘lessen’ , to a relative extent, the severe wind damage inland. We can always hope (and pray) for that outcome which is a possibility.
Same thing happened with Hurricane Lili in 2002. Almost the same track as well. Was a Cat 4 w/ 145mph sustained winds. Just before making landfall, it interacted with dry air and made landfall as a Cat 1 w/ 90mph winds.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:19 am to tigafan4life
(no message)
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:19 am to TDsngumbo
I was expecting higher winds but you’re right about the track. didn’t get the eastern wobble i was expecting.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:20 am to reds on reds on reds
Hey bro. Good luck. I’m scooting down to marsh camp real quick and then getting in traffic from dulac.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:21 am to Hulkklogan
Thanks. I will prob go to my in laws since they don’t have trees around them. I would evac but my husband does not want to leave the house and I get that but there isn’t much you can do in the middle of a storm with winds whipping at 100 mph if something happens to the house.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:21 am to BOSCEAUX
I think most BR people are staying put, at least I am
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:21 am to tigafan4life
quote:
Wonder if it will move again or if they are saying this will be the track. Hoping it doesn’t move back closer to us in BR.
Even if it moves 50 miles to our east and goes over NOLA, we’re still getting 70mph gusts. 50 miles to our west and we’re still getting 60-80 mph gusts easily. And unless something changes considerably with a giant arse wobble or steering currents, the track is not going to move much from here. I think it’s locked in, give or take 25 miles in either direction.
It’s important to remember the following:
Andrew made landfall with 115mph winds and went a good 40 miles to the west of Baton Rouge. Weaker and further away.
Gustav made landfall with 110mph wind and tracked about 30 miles from Baton Rouge.
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Ida is forecast to be 140mph at landfall and pass very, very close to Baton Rouge. At that forecast, BR will be completely neutered for weeks. If Ida weakens to 120 at landfall but still passes on the same track very close to Baton Rouge, we’re still looking at Gustav-like damage at best in my own amateur opinion.
Bottom line: we are in for one hell of an experience either way.
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 6:29 am
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:24 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Is it better to put the detector high or low? I really don’t know.
Low. Carbon monoxide is heavy by the time it gets to regular smoke detector height you might already be unconcious
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:26 am to CottonWasKing
quote:
Low. Carbon monoxide is heavy by the time it gets to regular smoke detector height you might already be unconcious
Great point. And put the detector where you will be spending the most time like a bedroom or family room.
This post was edited on 8/28/21 at 6:27 am
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:27 am to CottonWasKing
You can see the outer walls starting to form. It’ll be at 100mph shortly.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 6:28 am to reds on reds on reds
quote:
Think we have 15-20 family members coming to stay with us.
I'd rather ride a cat5 out in a trailer in Grand Isle
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