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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 am to Chad504boy
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 am to Chad504boy
quote:agreed. If I lived in BR in a sturdy structure I’d just ride it out at this point.
quote:
Would one be better in Laff or Covington for this bitch?
Lafayette but not sure it’s worth switching over other side of storm
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 am to GREENHEAD22
quote:
Would one be better in Laff or Covington for this bitch?
Lafayette, Indiana
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:43 am to ned nederlander
Please no, thank you
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:50 am to otowntiger
quote:
one thing to note in the latest NHC discussion is that the max intensity forecast might be ticking down as a couple of the models are backing off a bit. The other thing to note is they have mentioned the last couple of advisories is that they expect rapid weakening right after landfall- normally land interaction alone causes this I know but they’ve added that dry air and wind shear will aid in knocking it way down as it moves inland. They show it going from 140 down to 100 right after landfall and it is barely a TS by the time it moves into MS. This likely won’t be like Laura and remain a hurricane for 100’s of miles inland. There will obviously be plenty of wind and tons of rain, not to mention potentially devastating storm surge, but I’m now thinking that the wind in places like BR won’t be worse than Gustav, maybe even less- it could last longer with this storm though- just won’t be catastrophic wind wise it looks like to me for locations further inland. Houma and MC may be a different story though.
The euro is stronger and gfs is slightly weaker than the previous runs. Anything is possible. The dry air once making landfall could very well prevent the huge rain totals though. That said, the official forecast is for sustained winds of 100mph (category 2) when it’s over Iberville parish, not to mention higher gusts. It’ll be a slower mover than Gustav was but if the forecast comes to fruition, this will AT BEST be equivalent to Gustav. Chances are it’ll be worse.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:55 am to LC412000
I’m at work right now leaving my house around 2-3 this afternoon
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:59 am to bulldog95
Where you heading? From where?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:01 am to TDsngumbo
They finally updated there slides/page?
Been updating for awhile now
Been updating for awhile now
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:02 am to longhorn22
No gas off of i10 near Hammond. Having to look a good ways off the interstate now.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:03 am to UncleLester
quote:
Anyone want me to submit a question on the Weather Channel Facebook page?
Is Stephanie Abrams available for a morning coffee date?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:08 am to otowntiger
quote:
I’m now thinking that the wind in places like BR won’t be worse than Gustav, maybe even less
What would possibly being you to this conclusion with a Cat 2 projected with the center near Donaldsonville?
quote:
They show it going from 140 down to 100 right after landfall and it is barely a TS by the time it moves into MS.
Fairly normal drop and it slows down so yeah, once on land for almost 24 hours it is only a minimal TS.
This is a bad take. I know you can do better.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:08 am to UncleLester
quote:
GOOGLES* Pecan Island
Wtf
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:09 am to rds dc
sending prayers down to everyone in Terrebonne and Lafourche
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:10 am to jaytothen
I'll note that the official NWS forecast for Covington now states "tropical storm conditions with hurricane conditions possible," Yesterday it was "hurricane conditions." The hour by hour forecast is for sustained winds of 30 mph. The rain total is now 8 inches, down from 12. I don't now how that matches up with a cat 3/4 hurricane tracking ~60 miles away but there it is.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:11 am to DVinBR
Need them…. Just hoping we are without power and down limbs, polls…nothing major
Please….
Please….
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:12 am to TDsngumbo
Any chance it gets lopsided with a much weaker western side from sheer or dry air?
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:16 am to FelicianaTigerfan
quote:
Any chance it gets lopsided with a much weaker western side from sheer or dry air?
Yes. NHC says it will keep it from reaching cat 5 status.
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:18 am to mattchewbocca
No tress around me, whole home generator in Lakeview/NOLA. Riding it out with 3 kids. Hoping that’s not a mistake.
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