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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 am to
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
16919 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 am to
quote:

quote:
Would one be better in Laff or Covington for this bitch?


Lafayette but not sure it’s worth switching over other side of storm
agreed. If I lived in BR in a sturdy structure I’d just ride it out at this point.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30440 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:41 am to
quote:

Would one be better in Laff or Covington for this bitch?


Lafayette, Indiana
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
43193 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:43 am to
Please no, thank you
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50699 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:50 am to
quote:


one thing to note in the latest NHC discussion is that the max intensity forecast might be ticking down as a couple of the models are backing off a bit. The other thing to note is they have mentioned the last couple of advisories is that they expect rapid weakening right after landfall- normally land interaction alone causes this I know but they’ve added that dry air and wind shear will aid in knocking it way down as it moves inland. They show it going from 140 down to 100 right after landfall and it is barely a TS by the time it moves into MS. This likely won’t be like Laura and remain a hurricane for 100’s of miles inland. There will obviously be plenty of wind and tons of rain, not to mention potentially devastating storm surge, but I’m now thinking that the wind in places like BR won’t be worse than Gustav, maybe even less- it could last longer with this storm though- just won’t be catastrophic wind wise it looks like to me for locations further inland. Houma and MC may be a different story though.

The euro is stronger and gfs is slightly weaker than the previous runs. Anything is possible. The dry air once making landfall could very well prevent the huge rain totals though. That said, the official forecast is for sustained winds of 100mph (category 2) when it’s over Iberville parish, not to mention higher gusts. It’ll be a slower mover than Gustav was but if the forecast comes to fruition, this will AT BEST be equivalent to Gustav. Chances are it’ll be worse.
Posted by bulldog95
North Louisiana
Member since Jan 2011
21220 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:55 am to
I’m at work right now leaving my house around 2-3 this afternoon
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
50699 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:59 am to
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
43193 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 4:59 am to
Where you heading? From where?
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
43193 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:01 am to
They finally updated there slides/page?

Been updating for awhile now
Posted by ThePostman
Member since Sep 2009
2049 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:02 am to
No gas off of i10 near Hammond. Having to look a good ways off the interstate now.
Posted by jaytothen
Member since Jan 2020
8679 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:03 am to
quote:

Anyone want me to submit a question on the Weather Channel Facebook page?


Is Stephanie Abrams available for a morning coffee date?
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30440 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:06 am to
That shite is disturbing.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:08 am to
quote:

I’m now thinking that the wind in places like BR won’t be worse than Gustav, maybe even less


What would possibly being you to this conclusion with a Cat 2 projected with the center near Donaldsonville?

quote:

They show it going from 140 down to 100 right after landfall and it is barely a TS by the time it moves into MS.


Fairly normal drop and it slows down so yeah, once on land for almost 24 hours it is only a minimal TS.

This is a bad take. I know you can do better.
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
43193 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:08 am to
She’s in MC
Posted by CP3LSU25
Louisiana
Member since Feb 2009
52570 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:08 am to
quote:

GOOGLES* Pecan Island


Wtf
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15739 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:09 am to
sending prayers down to everyone in Terrebonne and Lafourche
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105276 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:10 am to
I'll note that the official NWS forecast for Covington now states "tropical storm conditions with hurricane conditions possible," Yesterday it was "hurricane conditions." The hour by hour forecast is for sustained winds of 30 mph. The rain total is now 8 inches, down from 12. I don't now how that matches up with a cat 3/4 hurricane tracking ~60 miles away but there it is.
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
43193 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:11 am to
Need them…. Just hoping we are without power and down limbs, polls…nothing major

Please….
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:12 am to
Any chance it gets lopsided with a much weaker western side from sheer or dry air?
Posted by mattchewbocca
houma, la
Member since Jun 2008
6884 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:16 am to
quote:

Any chance it gets lopsided with a much weaker western side from sheer or dry air?


Yes. NHC says it will keep it from reaching cat 5 status.
Posted by Saint5446
Member since Jan 2014
912 posts
Posted on 8/28/21 at 5:18 am to
No tress around me, whole home generator in Lakeview/NOLA. Riding it out with 3 kids. Hoping that’s not a mistake.
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