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re: Storm Update:- Ida Moves Away - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:58 am to
Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
22944 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 12:58 am to
quote:

The HWRF still has Ida's pressure at 960 as it hits Baton Rouge. Yikes.




Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
22944 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:02 am to
quote:

GFS Ensembles pretty much locked in on Vermillion Bay to Barataria Bay.


:stone cold gif:
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:05 am to
This Euro run is odd. It's further west and slightly faster than the previous 00Z run.
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5096 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:06 am to
It seems like every 00z model has been more west tonight
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:07 am to
Posted by Lion4Life
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2012
424 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:07 am to
It now includes flight level data, May be an interesting trend.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:08 am to
I think because it's weaker. At 54 hours, the Euro has its pressure at only 994.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91855 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:08 am to
quote:

This Euro run is odd. It's further west and slightly faster than the previous 00Z run.




I think it is actually just faster, which appears like it will take it in slightly east of the 12z run. I forget where the other poster said the 18z came in, but looking at the hourly breakdown on Weather.us, it doesn't appear it will be west.
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:09 am to
It just came in at Vermillion Bay at 979mb. Hmmm
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5096 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:12 am to
Looks like 969mb that pressure dropped quick in the last 12 hours
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 1:13 am
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:13 am to
I'm using the 1 hour intervals so I'm still waiting to see exactly where it comes in. You're right at 78 hours it's 969mb.
This post was edited on 8/27/21 at 1:15 am
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5096 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:16 am to
I don’t have a close up but to you does it look like the west side of Vermillion bay?
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91855 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:18 am to
quote:

It just came in at Vermillion Bay at 979mb. Hmmm


Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:18 am to
Yes. That will ruffle up Lake Charlinians. Way too close for their comfort zone I imagine.
Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
22944 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:19 am to
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26630 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:19 am to
Yeah the Euro would save Houma/NOLA, but tear up Morgan City and Lafayette. I'm curious if this is just a mini windshield wiper going on or if we're seeing the output from new data.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15818 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:20 am to
one thing that scares me is that the models and meteorologists who read them say and show "it will make it up to a strong cat 2 before landfall" and then the storm overachieves, this happened with Laura
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5096 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:21 am to
Yeah all the model run so far during the day had been promising for SWLA but with the 00z model runs shifting just a little back west now with all the recon data it’ll put us back on edge
Posted by BigBrod81
Houma
Member since Sep 2010
22944 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:27 am to
Posted by lsucm10
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
1419 posts
Posted on 8/27/21 at 1:31 am to
I have a old pos generator that is 12 years old and cost $250 when I purchased it. Can’t get it to run to save my life now.
I’m in Baton Rouge, is it worth my while to go buy one based on current data from the storm? Is a Honda generator worth it if I can find one? Main thing I want to run at night would be a 8,000 btu window unit.
Would also like to use it tailgating if that makes a difference.
Appreciate any advice.
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