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Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:06 pm to OldSouth
I dont understand, all the 12z models are pushing west again? Why the east push?
is 18z out?
is 18z out?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:07 pm to tgrgrd00
quote:UL*
ULL
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:07 pm to TheFonz
quote:
Faster moving=less time over water=less strength?
Good theory. I think most of the models that have it fairly strong have been showing sunday landfall so they are seeing prime conditions regardless of how long it's over water.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:07 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
Why the east push?
the NHC knows where the actual center is now... and it's further east than it was when they put their first cone out
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:07 pm to maisweh
Meh, you’re like 5 minutes from me if you haven’t moved recently.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:08 pm to jmcwhrter
Terrebonne Parish will have sandbags tomorrow at 8am.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:08 pm to deltaland
Working nights this weekend. Was excited when it was supposed to be a Monday daytime storm. Sunday night is gonna suck balls
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:08 pm to DVinBR
quote:
yone know if the recon data was factored in the current published forecast track?
It was not.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:09 pm to SLafourche07
quote:
Meh, you’re like 5 minutes from me if you haven’t moved recently.
Depends who this is, but Thibodaux now.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:09 pm to NorthEndZone
quote:
Recon found the LLCC. Roughly 17.8N 79.8W
And weaker than what some of the models were showing for this time. However, there might be multiple smaller vorts rotating around, so wait and see what else recon finds.
Other than the system being weaker than expected, not much else in the way of good news for Louisiana out of the 12z model cycle.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:10 pm to doubleb
then we'll probably see another shift in the forecast this evening after models have time to digest the information from the flight
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:10 pm to DVinBR
As of right now, if a person in south Louisiana just wanted to get out of dodge (driving) where would be a good town to go wait it out? Not too far and not likely to see too much wind/flooding?
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:10 pm to jimbeam
quote:
UL*
If I would have been talking about them I would have said USWL.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:10 pm to rds dc
quote:
rds dc
Only you have the power to shift it an H to the right
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:10 pm to TheFonz
quote:
Faster moving=less time over water=less strength?
Yeah but the strength it does have carries further inland.
That's how we only got about 45 min of hurricane force winds in da Parish for Zeta but they were over 100 mph gusts.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:10 pm to DVinBR
Rob Perillo loves him some GRAF model. It has it even further East.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:10 pm to rds dc
quote:
Other than the system being weaker than expected, not much else in the way of good news for Louisiana out of the 12z model cycle.
not as advanced and less time over gulf is some decent news. But yes, bullseye LA.
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:11 pm to baybeefeetz
quote:
As of right now, if a person in south Louisiana just wanted to get out of dodge (driving) where would be a good town to go wait it out? Not too far and not likely to see too much wind/flooding?
anywhere in Texas
This post was edited on 8/26/21 at 4:11 pm
Posted on 8/26/21 at 4:11 pm to rds dc
Fantastic:
quote:
Sunday Showers. The rain could be heavy at times. High near 83. Very windy, with a northeast wind 15 to 25 mph increasing to 40 to 50 mph. Winds could gust as high as 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Sunday Night Showers. The rain could be heavy at times. Low around 75. Strong and damaging winds, with a south wind 60 to 70 mph decreasing to 30 to 40 mph. Winds could gust as high as 90 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
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