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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:25 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:25 pm to FelicianaTigerfan
looks like the high pressure is moving quicker than expected preventing the storm to move west and allowing it to move north
This post was edited on 8/25/16 at 1:26 pm
2
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:26 pm to bnb9433
120 hrs...
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:27 pm to Duke
quote:
Weak storm passing through the keys.
High pressure staaaacked over Carolinas in that image.
Ridge over the top is stronger, western Gulf feature is weaker, northern stream vort is weaker/farther north. However, the system just kind of drifts north along the western coast of Florida through 120. Looks like kind of a razors edge setup, where it could go either way. Looks like it might end up weaker and a bit west of the 00z run.
ETA: ends up in about the same landfall position as 00z
This post was edited on 8/25/16 at 1:31 pm
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:27 pm to Fratigerguy
What do these images mean?
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:27 pm to bnb9433
That ridge magically breaks down again. Can anyone see why? At this point it seems that nothing much will come of this anyway, just keep it away from Louisiana as we don't need the rain.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:27 pm to Fratigerguy
73 pages about rain in Haiti ??
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:29 pm to txpurpleandgold
Best I can tell, there is some sort of tropical system out there. Somebody gone get wet.
Some sketti models...
Some sketti models...
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:30 pm to rds dc
Hence the current model split?
Btw, why isn't the GFS developing the system?
Btw, why isn't the GFS developing the system?
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:30 pm to Fratigerguy
Euro solution takes a weak tropical storm into the big bend of Florida and then carries it off to the NE.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:30 pm to Duke
Because the GFS is the GFS.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:31 pm to Fratigerguy
144 hrs, aaaaaaand we're done.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:32 pm to Duke
GFS takes it into Cuba then north towards the big bend of Florida that is most likely why it never develops it
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:33 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
I'm still curious as to why the Euro wants to break the ridge down so much, so quickly.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:35 pm to Fratigerguy
An hour ago it was headed straight at Nola. Now it's barely hitting Florida. Tonight it will be a Cat 5. This shite cracks me up. I'll wait until Sunday
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:36 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
it may not matter looks like the low level center is moving due west towards Cuba, that will most likely kill it. If it can survive that or form a new low then i think the models might shift more west over time. Next 12-24 hours gonna tell the tale of what ultimately becomes of 99l.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:37 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
Because the GFS is the GFS.
Looking for something a little more technical than that.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:37 pm to Duke
not yet.
This post was edited on 8/25/16 at 1:39 pm
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:38 pm to CEORanter
GFS has been predicting a weak storm for a while now. Maybe it was right all along.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:39 pm to CEORanter
Hispaniola may have killed another system. It is crazy to think about life along the Gulf without those mountains down there. At this point, it wouldn't surprise me if the swirl just kept racing west and dissipated over Cuba.
Posted on 8/25/16 at 1:39 pm to lsuman25
Sorry fla but I hope the Euro is right.
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