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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:03 am to
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:03 am to
Hunh?
Posted by Bama and Beer
Baldwin Co, AL
Member since Oct 2010
85484 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:04 am to
See it now
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 7:08 am
Posted by geauxtigersgirl
Member since Aug 2016
1314 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:05 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 5/13/21 at 10:58 pm
Posted by Zach Lee To Amp Hill
New Orleans
Member since Mar 2016
4942 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:05 am to
How many more projected paths do you need?
Posted by Bama and Beer
Baldwin Co, AL
Member since Oct 2010
85484 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:06 am to
A bunch

Eta. I see it on previous page
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 7:07 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21447 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:06 am to
Just a reminder, there is still plenty of reason to take anything you see over the next couple of days with a grain of salt. The system hasn't formed and there is still a lot of spread across the models. View the interwebz with caution and be highly skeptical of anyone posting an actual forecast at this point.

Track error would be even worse for invest, if they were included in this graphic:



Here is a product that WSI posted this morning showing the last 4 Euro EPS runs, a shift west but still a large spread:

Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:06 am to
On that map, is that where they are predicting landfall? I am not sure how to read the map. I thought it was a current storm position.
Posted by DawgCountry
Great State of GA
Member since Sep 2012
33223 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:09 am to
projected path but a pretty wide spread
Posted by Hulkklogan
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Oct 2010
43482 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:10 am to
Yes that is a projected landfall.

Coukd be wildly inaccurate since the storm isn't developed yet, so don't freak out. But keep an eye out and begin some prep
Posted by gsvar2004
Member since Nov 2007
8858 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:11 am to
Can you imagine 90+ mph winds with all the piles of debris everywhere.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:13 am to
Oh, I won't freak out. I will lock my shite up and head to Toledo bend.
Posted by Lou Pai
Member since Dec 2014
29593 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:16 am to
I've gathered that this would make landfall around Wed AM, is that fair to say?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:17 am to
quote:

That seems like a silly name.



Even more silly, is that it's pronounced Her-MEEN
Posted by 4WHLN
Drinking at the Cottage Inn
Member since Mar 2013
7637 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:19 am to
quote:

Can you imagine 90+ mph winds with all the piles of debris everywhere.

this along with the areas that still have water in ditches and ponds that haven't drained yet due to the backflow.
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
102058 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:24 am to
quote:

Can you imagine 90+ mph winds with all the piles of debris everywhere.

this along with the areas that still have water in ditches and ponds that haven't drained yet due to the backflow.



That's what we were saying after Cindy hit and Katrina was about to hit Florida.
Posted by CidCock
Member since Sep 2007
Member since Feb 2011
8692 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:29 am to
99L is approximately 1660 mile SE of Beaufort SC tracking WNW at 15 mph over the St Maarten, Barbuda, Anguilla et. al. .Convection is better organized this morning than yesterday despite the fact that 99L is pushing against a big slug of dry air. 99L remains challenged by aforementioned dry air and island topography of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola keeping intensity in check for at least 48 hours. Conditions become more favorable for 99L to rapidly intensify near the northern Bahamas and the coast of Florida. In our favor, a strong ridge of high pressure builds in over the US east coast that would “persuade” 99L or its named successor to remain a more westerly track into the GoMex, a la Hurricanes Andrew and Katrina, and if you recall that did not end well. Despite the lack of a well-defined center of circulation, the models have an eerily good near consensus on a westerly track in to the GoMex on Sunday.
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 7:29 am
Posted by RidiculousHype
The Hatch
Member since Sep 2007
10948 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:33 am to
quote:

Can you imagine 90+ mph winds with all the piles of debris everywhere.


That is terrifying
Posted by Wimp Lo
My nipples look like Milk Duds
Member since Aug 2016
4548 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:36 am to
So not Her-miney?
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:41 am to
Is it ok to be kinda relieved that Louisiana is in the bullseye? With a storm this far out, chances have to be very slim that it actually ends up where they are predicting. Could we see more westerly shift?
Posted by the LSUSaint
Member since Nov 2009
15444 posts
Posted on 8/24/16 at 7:42 am to
At least you can use homeowners to cover damages. No flood insurance? Go pull shingles off your roof and have a tree "accidentally" fall on your house.

Problem solved
This post was edited on 8/24/16 at 7:50 am
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