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re: Storm Tracking Thread: Post Tropical Storm Hermine

Posted on 9/1/16 at 3:21 pm to
Posted by otowntiger
O-Town
Member since Jan 2004
15710 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 3:21 pm to
Tally is about to get hit pretty good. Hope they are ready for lots of downed trees and no power for days on end. With the faster forward motion the wind damage may actually be enhanced in a smaller window but at the same time the threat of flooding will be diminished, somewhat.
Posted by Tigris
Mexican Home
Member since Jul 2005
12448 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 3:22 pm to
Fack, power is out. On battery and shutting down.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
51355 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

The "eye" is looking like Lanark Village/St. Teresa/Alligator Point/Panacea/St. Marks; all small towns


That's where the Weather Channel Futurecast has it jogging the way you mentioned.

LINK
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43155 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 3:24 pm to
Outer portion of the eye wall now less than 50 miles off shore.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
51355 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 3:26 pm to
quote:

Fack, power is out. On battery and shutting down


yeah it's starting to close in..
Posted by SlowEasyConfident
Member since Nov 2015
6650 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 3:26 pm to
Damn this thing really gathered some strength it looks like
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11599 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 3:36 pm to
Yep. 88 degree seawater, light to moderate shear, and fairly moist airmass = boom. This is why you can never count a storm out until it is on land.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
58484 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 3:38 pm to
quote:

I flew over Katrina when we left Nola for Orlando. Not much changes if it doesn't affect take off or landing.


I know it varies by storm but anybody know how high you have to fly to safely fly "over" one of these things? Usual height of cloud tops?
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
20983 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

Damn this thing really gathered some strength it looks like



Another day or two over open water and instead cat 1/2, this could easily be 3/4+



Posted by Tigris
Mexican Home
Member since Jul 2005
12448 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 4:30 pm to
Just drove Hwy 98 over Ochlockonee Bay as they are shutting down southbound traffic. It's starting to look real out in the bay, a floating fishing pier is a mess now. The marsh is up at least 2 feet already.
Posted by Creamer
louisiana
Member since Jul 2010
2817 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 4:38 pm to
For those heading to the beach, traffic on I10 is at a complete standstill at the Florida border. Looks like a wreck involving an 18 Wheeler.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35710 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 4:51 pm to
Outflow increasing looking better. NW spreading out nicely. Convection firing all around the center. Might get up to a 2 before landfall. I hope not, but even an intensifying 1 won't be much fun to ride out.
Posted by Pettifogger
Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone
Member since Feb 2012
79525 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 4:56 pm to
Watching an SGI webcam, water really starting to come up now
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
20983 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

Might get up to a 2 before landfall. I hope not, but even an intensifying 1 won't be much fun to ride out.


That's what i am thinking. Last pressure I saw was 983 and dropping. Once it gets below 980 that's in cat 2 land. She's turning into a pretty (to the eye) storm.
Posted by mule74
Watersound Beach
Member since Nov 2004
11331 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 4:58 pm to
According to the local weather guy 30A is now officially out of the storm and willlikely not get any more rain. We only caught one band today.
Posted by LSU fan 246
Member since Oct 2005
90567 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 5:01 pm to
would this thing break up much going across florida and into the atlantic, if it does that
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19846 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 5:03 pm to
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
20983 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

would this thing break up much going across florida and into the atlantic, if it does tha


Models I saw had this thing transitioning into an extra tropical storm, then going up the coast, possibly into the NE corridor. Oddly enough it might regain tropical status over the gulf stream.
Posted by makinskrilla
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jun 2009
9730 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 5:45 pm to
Checking in from the Destin chic fila, gettin my macros
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11599 posts
Posted on 9/1/16 at 5:46 pm to
Cedar Key storm surge cam...

LINK
This post was edited on 9/1/16 at 5:48 pm
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