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re: Storm Aftermath - Hurricane Matthew will be Retired

Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:40 pm to
Posted by Tiger in NY
Neptune Beach, FL
Member since Sep 2003
31584 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:40 pm to
quote:

by Methland do you mean Bithlo, or Polk County?


Or Clay County
Posted by MountainTiger
The foot of Mt. Belzoni
Member since Dec 2008
14953 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

This is the shitty catch-22 of forecasting the weather. Err on the side of caution and people remember things being overblown and disregard future warnings. Underestimate an event and the survivors will want your head on a stake.

If you think that's bad you should try forecasting earthquakes and volcano eruptions.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

From New Orleans.
frick the jorts.


It's good you still have that mindset. Get out before it's too late. One day, you're going to wake up just like any other day. You'll head into the kitchen to get some breakfast and enjoy a nice breakfast with the family. After breakfast, you're going to go over your day in your mind as you shower and shave. It's all going to look like it'll be perfect. Then, you'll go to your closet to grab a pair of jeans to get dressed and you'll find jorts instead. You'll have no recollection of the horrible cutting, but nonetheless, it will have happened. It is at that moment that the horrible truth will hit you like Ike Turner: the condition is progressive, there is no cure, and it's too late for you.

Save yourself while you can.
Posted by PsychTiger
Member since Jul 2004
109116 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:45 pm to
When Yellowstone blows it won't matter if they forecast it.

Super volcano staaaaaaaaaacked!

Humans fuuuuuuuuuuuuuuucked!
Posted by Titus Pullo
MTDGA
Member since Feb 2011
28567 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:45 pm to
Not exactly what you were asking, but per Wikipedia:

quote:

A driftsonde is a high altitude, durableweather balloon holding a transmitter and a bank (35 in the first models) of miniature dropsonde capsules. These water-bottle-sized transmitters have enough power to send information to the balloon during their parachute-controlled fall. The balloon carries a transmitter powerful enough to relay readings to a satellite. The single-use sensor packages cost US$300 to $400 each.[1]

After being introduced in April 2007, around a thousand a year are expected to be used to track winds in hurricane breeding grounds off of West Africa, which are outside the operating areas of Hurricane Hunter planes.[1]




Which is a drop, not intended, in the bucket compared to the money that is probably saved by improving the forecast.
This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 3:49 pm
Posted by MountainTiger
The foot of Mt. Belzoni
Member since Dec 2008
14953 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

When Yellowstone blows it won't matter if they forecast it.

True story.
Posted by Titus Pullo
MTDGA
Member since Feb 2011
28567 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:46 pm to
Will he walk the dinosaur afterwards?
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53868 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:47 pm to
Updated Map of Expected Power Outages






Fla Power & Light Co.
This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 3:53 pm
Posted by Titus Pullo
MTDGA
Member since Feb 2011
28567 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:50 pm to
The technology available these days is really amazing.
Posted by Penn
Jax Beach
Member since Jan 2008
23678 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:50 pm to
Guys
Been boarding up in Jax Beach and haven't seen many models, how are we doin?
Posted by rsbd
banks of the Mississippi
Member since Jan 2007
23447 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:51 pm to
Track shifted more west, no game in Gainesville..
Posted by bluemoons
the marsh
Member since Oct 2012
5868 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:52 pm to


Newest NWS advisory. It seems that there isn't as much agreement among the models and Matthew's loop as there was earlier on. From my uneducated view, it looks like there's just as much chance it won't loop as there is that it will loop.

Max wind radius is only 20 nautical miles at the moment.
This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 3:54 pm
Posted by Titus Pullo
MTDGA
Member since Feb 2011
28567 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:52 pm to
Look two posts above yours for the latest and most accurate forecast model.

Edit. I was referring to the top image, before the edit.
This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 3:54 pm
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53868 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:53 pm to
quote:

Been boarding up in Jax Beach and haven't seen many models, how are we doin?


It's not looking good for the home team.

Prepare for a direct hit.

How long are you staying in Jax?

This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 3:54 pm
Posted by LSU2NO
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2007
1949 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:53 pm to
When Yellowstone blows it won't matter if they forecast it.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


quote:

True story.


NOT
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21764 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:53 pm to
New 5 day forecast has it hitting Cape Canaveral and walking up the coast. It looks like Gainesville is right on the edge of the cone.

Nevermind- see above...
This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 3:55 pm
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91836 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:55 pm to
quote:

Which is a drop, not intended, in the bucket compared to the money that is probably saved by improving the forecast.


Yeah I've actually looked it up a few weeks ago and came across the same information. I don't mean to intend it is a waste of money by any means, but dropping $300 modules out of a plane 5 minutes after takeoff still cracks me up.
Posted by LSUwag
Florida man
Member since Jan 2007
18107 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:56 pm to
Gainesville is well within the cone. The game will have to be moved. It's the prudent decision to make.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46758 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

by Methland do you mean Bithlo, or Polk County?


Polk. If you are from here it is Poke.

Posted by Titus Pullo
MTDGA
Member since Feb 2011
28567 posts
Posted on 10/5/16 at 3:58 pm to
Yeah, the info I pasted wasn't anything too hard to find.

But I figured I would go ahead and post it anyway.
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