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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 9/27/16 at 8:28 am to meauxjeaux2
Posted on 9/27/16 at 8:53 am to rds dc
Agreed, it does appear that this storm will have a significant impact on someone in the Caribbean, unless it doesn't develop as much as expected. I think they still have a much better handle on where it could go versus how strong it will be when it gets there. My bet is it won't be as strong as expected just following the history of the last several seasons. The tropics have been pretty hostile for Tropical development in general. This could be the exception - no one knows for sure.
Posted on 9/27/16 at 10:49 am to rds dc
> 
> 
This post was edited on 9/27/16 at 10:55 am
Posted on 9/27/16 at 10:51 am to ForeverLSU02
Proof that Walls Work.
Posted on 9/27/16 at 10:53 am to ForeverLSU02
This system needs a blinker.
Posted on 9/27/16 at 11:36 am to ForeverLSU02
Looks like Jamaica and Usain Bolt have some extra power nature isn't aware of.
Posted on 9/27/16 at 11:49 am to East Coast Band
Some minor westward trend on the 12z GFS and it is weaker moving into the ECAB. It is still sticking to the hard right and nearly due north track.
Posted on 9/27/16 at 1:10 pm to ForeverLSU02
Are we good in Punta Cana till Friday? I'm here now but not leaving till Friday. It appears as though we will be out just in time.
Posted on 9/27/16 at 1:31 pm to rds dc
Some significant changes on the 12z Euro through 120hrs but hard to say what, if any, changes will occur later on.
Posted on 9/27/16 at 1:32 pm to rds dc
significant how? If i am interpreting the euro correctly is shows low pressure more so than high pressure now and could provide a bigger weakness?
This post was edited on 9/27/16 at 1:38 pm
Posted on 9/27/16 at 1:38 pm to BigB0882
quote:
Even if the Euro is right and this comes west,
Yeah if it stays weak I would think it would continue west but if the circulations line up I could see that pole ward route.
Posted on 9/27/16 at 1:38 pm to lsuman25
It still seems that the outcome will end up being the same. Those cutoff lows keep diving from the west so even if this moves further west each run it will be picked up and ultimately recurved, the question is whether it even touches the US at this point or if it is a Haiti, Cuba, DR issue. The only way things begin changing in a big way is if models suddenly start showing a strong ridge building back in which can push this back to the west after initially lifting north. The problem goes back to all those cut off lows coming down, they will just erode any ridge that does try to form.
Now, that being said, this could end up being a problem for the east coast down the road but that is so far out that I wont even speculate on it at this point.
Now, that being said, this could end up being a problem for the east coast down the road but that is so far out that I wont even speculate on it at this point.
This post was edited on 9/27/16 at 1:42 pm
Posted on 9/27/16 at 1:58 pm to rds dc
Damn Euro screws Miami
Posted on 9/27/16 at 2:02 pm to lsuman25
quote:
Damn Euro screws Miami
Yea... Good thing it's a D10 output, so lots of time for this to change. The trend continues to be westward. At what point does it stop or does this end up in Mexico?
Posted on 9/27/16 at 2:05 pm to rds dc
I could live with that would suck for Mexico, looks like the Hurricane Hunters are not finding much also.
Posted on 9/27/16 at 2:14 pm to BigB0882
quote:
Now, that being said, this could end up being a problem for the east coast down the road but that is so far out that I wont even speculate on it at this point.
Good thing for the NHC, looks like they won't have to issue a forecast today. Not surprising given the amount of dry air that ESRL analysis was showing out in front of the system and to the SW. The longer it stays weaker the more concerning things will get down the road.
Posted on 9/27/16 at 2:29 pm to rds dc
Do you mean westward trend as in the farther west it goes, the more likely it will impact the east coast and not just head off to sea? Or not make the northerly turn and enter the Gulf of Mexico?
Posted on 9/27/16 at 2:55 pm to ForeverLSU02
I have never seen projections that make a right angle in the Caribbean like that. What is the cause for the sharp north turn?
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