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Posted on 10/5/16 at 4:31 am to ByteMe
quote:I guess I'll quit downvoting chicken now
I wish! Chicken and Circus can
Posted on 10/5/16 at 4:34 am to ForeverLSU02
I got a pm from chicken when I downvoted him. It said come at the chicken 
Posted on 10/5/16 at 4:36 am to ForeverLSU02
With that latest track no way in hell they play it Saturday
Eta: in Gainesville anyway
Eta: in Gainesville anyway
This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 4:37 am
Posted on 10/5/16 at 4:36 am to FLBooGoTigs1
Stay safe. These things friggin' suck.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 4:39 am to FLBooGoTigs1
Posted on 10/5/16 at 4:40 am to PairofDucks
Gonna try 
Posted on 10/5/16 at 4:54 am to FLBooGoTigs1
Looks like SC will be fine.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 4:56 am to GetCocky11
Except for those parts of SC when this thing decides to turn. It really slows down to turn and could drop alot of rain
Posted on 10/5/16 at 4:58 am to ForeverLSU02
It has turned further away from SC with each new advisory. Are there any models that have it shifting west?
Posted on 10/5/16 at 5:05 am to FLBooGoTigs1
quote:
Byte check out this link to the surf report I use when I go surfing. A good day of surfing out here is about 3 ft waves and a wave energy of between 140-150. Look at Thursday and Friday's surf report. Holy shite
surf report
Goddamn..it has Edisto Beach in SC (basically Charleston) with 15 ft waves Sat a.m. with wave energy of 7337.
ETA: GetCocky...at this point I'm not sure anybody knows wtf this bastard is gonna do. Hope to God it does miss us but the projections keep changing so drastically I'm gonna wait till tomorrow to make any decisions.
This post was edited on 10/5/16 at 5:12 am
Posted on 10/5/16 at 5:11 am to ByteMe
quote:
The forecast track has shifted Matthew a bit further to the west which will mean increased conditions along the Florida, Georgia and Carolina coasts.
. is this not the slowest moving storm ever?Posted on 10/5/16 at 5:14 am to FLObserver
New GFS has it paralleling the Florida coast then looping back around to hit Florida again.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 5:19 am to lsuman25
This thing is going to run Florida over them throw it in reverse and come back for seconds? Damn
Posted on 10/5/16 at 5:19 am to FLObserver
yeah, the speed of Matthew is becoming Florida's downfall
what seems to be happening is there's a 500mb trough that zips pretty quickly across the US. It develops over the Rockies Thursday and then pushes east to the Atlantic coast late Sunday. The positioning of this trough relative to Matthew will determine if it continues north or does its dance over the Bahamas.
If it manages to get north fast enough, the trough will just push it north along the coast and then out to see
if it doesn't get ahead of the trough, Matthew will instead be blocked by the trough and stay south for an extra few days, which makes it do its loop.
What really concerns me is the fact storms can get really unpredictable when they're looping in slow motion. Once it starts looping, it's hard to say when it's going to stop and what it's trajectory will be, especially 4-6 days out as we are now.
Matthew did show a little bit of acceleration in the last update, but I don't know if it's going to be enough to get ahead of the trough.
what seems to be happening is there's a 500mb trough that zips pretty quickly across the US. It develops over the Rockies Thursday and then pushes east to the Atlantic coast late Sunday. The positioning of this trough relative to Matthew will determine if it continues north or does its dance over the Bahamas.
If it manages to get north fast enough, the trough will just push it north along the coast and then out to see
if it doesn't get ahead of the trough, Matthew will instead be blocked by the trough and stay south for an extra few days, which makes it do its loop.
What really concerns me is the fact storms can get really unpredictable when they're looping in slow motion. Once it starts looping, it's hard to say when it's going to stop and what it's trajectory will be, especially 4-6 days out as we are now.
Matthew did show a little bit of acceleration in the last update, but I don't know if it's going to be enough to get ahead of the trough.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 5:22 am to baytiger
Some graphics:
18z GFS from last night, where Matthew gets ahead of the trough:
06z GFS, currently running, where the trough blocks Matthew:
18z GFS from last night, where Matthew gets ahead of the trough:
06z GFS, currently running, where the trough blocks Matthew:
Posted on 10/5/16 at 5:28 am to baytiger
I believe it was Hurricane Betsy did a similar loop back in 1965. It was headed up the east coast, made a loop the came around south between Florida and Cuba, entered the gulf and hit Louisiana.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 5:30 am to tiger 56
yeah, that's what I'm concerned about. there's no telling when it would stop looping at this point. Could go in to the gulf, could make a full loop and go north again, could just go harmlessly out to sea. who knows.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 5:59 am to baytiger
Fortunately Matthew and Nicole should remain sufficiently far enough apart that Fujiwhara won't complicate the forecast any further
Posted on 10/5/16 at 6:09 am to Bread Orgeron
Yeah, Nicole isn't going to stick around long enough for anything really interesting to happen.
Also, hey Robbie, we should catch up some time
Also, hey Robbie, we should catch up some time
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