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Started By
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3
Posted on 9/30/16 at 9:23 pm to rds dc
I am not familiar with that part of Columbia. Any populated areas or resorts?
Posted on 9/30/16 at 9:28 pm to rds dc
Matthew is starting to look very Wilma-esque.
Posted on 9/30/16 at 9:32 pm to Tigerpaw123
quote:
Are you implying what I think you are implying?
I'm not sure what you think he's implying, but every model has it hitting a wall in roughly 36 hours and not getting much farther west.
Posted on 9/30/16 at 9:33 pm to LakeViewLSU
quote:
Something about this colored version of the IR loops always seems more menacing.
Racist.
Well done.
Posted on 9/30/16 at 9:41 pm to Tigerpaw123
any track errors right now are going to be washed out when it makes the northerly turn. The exact path it takes to make that turn isn't important.
Posted on 9/30/16 at 9:44 pm to baytiger
Except for the fact that if it keeps going south that it might not feel the trough and get picked up.
Posted on 9/30/16 at 9:44 pm to slackster
quote:
I'm not sure what you think he's implying, but every model has it hitting a wall in roughly 36 hours and not getting much farther west.
I have not been the least bit concerned that this storm will affect us, or even enter the GOM, but rds is someone I highly respect in reference to tropical weather, or weather in general, that post of his made me wonder if he felt this storm was not following the models and could be something for us to worry about? I don't know jack crap about tropical weather other that to look at cones and spaghetti noodles , so I listen to people that do
Posted on 9/30/16 at 9:45 pm to baytiger
quote:
any track errors right now are going to be washed out when it makes the northerly turn. The exact path it takes to make that turn
Thank you
Posted on 9/30/16 at 9:59 pm to Tigerpaw123
quote:
Are you implying what I think you are implying?
I'm not implying anything
It was just a comment, also no model had it this strong. The upper level trough over the Gulf should be strong enough to force this back to the north as it rounds the ridge, just like every model is showing. Models will get a special data dump at 00z from a flight that sampled the trough over the Gulf:
That should help the models pin down the movement some over the next couple of days. Yesterday, it looked like the movement over the next couple days didn't really matter b/c the system had a pretty clear escape path out to sea. However, the models are slowly changing to showing a ridge building over the top of the storm later on, if that is the case, then the movement over the next couple of days could play a huge role in what happens next week.
Posted on 9/30/16 at 10:00 pm to LSUneaux
MATTHEW BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...THE STRONGEST HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC SINCE FELIX IN 2007...
Posted on 9/30/16 at 10:02 pm to LSUneaux
quote:
MATTHEW BECOMES A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...
God I hope PeeJ is correct this one time
Posted on 9/30/16 at 10:03 pm to LSUneaux
Why are you screaming?
Posted on 9/30/16 at 10:03 pm to LSUneaux
frick my arse.
I don't want to sound insensitive to the severity of this, but has truly been a beauty to watch grow. Unbelievable.
I don't want to sound insensitive to the severity of this, but has truly been a beauty to watch grow. Unbelievable.
Posted on 9/30/16 at 10:05 pm to rds dc
Haven't hurricanes in the past gotten so strong (like a Cat 5) that they sort of create their own steering ? In other words, they become so big that the outside influences like the jet stream, have negligible effect on them.
Posted on 9/30/16 at 10:05 pm to rds dc
quote:
don't think any model had it going below 13N
How does that happen?
Posted on 9/30/16 at 10:05 pm to baytiger
quote:
any track errors right now are going to be washed out when it makes the northerly turn. The exact path it takes to make that turn isn't important.
Where it could be an issue, if it takes longer to make the turn or doesn't move as fast to the north. Also, the orientation of the trough over the Gulf will play a role in how far back to the east the system moves. Of course, all of this is mute, if the occluding Ohio Valley low leaves a weakness as it exits off the NE for the system to escape through next week.
Posted on 9/30/16 at 10:05 pm to SohCahToa
quote:
frick my arse.
Uhhhhh....
Posted on 9/30/16 at 10:07 pm to GeorgeTheGreek
New advisory coming out 160 mph sustained winds. Category 5.
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