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re: So we are heading into worldwide recession in the 4th Qtr

Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:59 pm to
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
49830 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 8:59 pm to
Didn’t even know we had a board like that, please move it
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61723 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:01 pm to
quote:

We have less farm land than previous


We could add farm land with the quickness if we needed it.
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
5901 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:03 pm to
quote:

For almost 15 years. It was unprecedented. America got punch drunk on cheap money


It’s the psychology of this I find fascinating. Just anecdotally I find most people expect a return to the “normal” 3-4% mortgage rates in the next two years.

That may be true, but I tend to think think that 15 years reset everyone’s understanding of normal finance. More likely, I think those rates will proof to be the anomaly, and I don’t think our national market psychologically has really considered that possibility just yet.
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
105300 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:07 pm to
Maybe Rolex prices will come down.
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
19821 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:08 pm to
quote:

We have less farm land than previous and I don’t see an end to this.

And we STILL produce far more food than we consume. There isn't a better chunk of farmland on the planet (with cheap transportation via the Greater Mississippi River System) than the Midwest.
Posted by greygoose
Member since Aug 2013
15060 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:08 pm to
quote:

So we are heading into worldwide recession in the 4th Qtr
Chickens are coming home to roost! Student loan payments are set to resume.... 4th qtr will be a thing to behold with just the auto loans alone!
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
19821 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:13 pm to
quote:

4th qtr will be a thing to behold with just the auto loans alone

Maybe I can score a nice used truck on the cheap then. We're currently trying to find a vehicle for my step-son, but prices are downright stupid.
Posted by pwejr88
Red Stick
Member since Apr 2007
37878 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:15 pm to
Your billionaire friend is wrong.
It’s going to be Q1 2024. I’m in the industry.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
476712 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:20 pm to
quote:

in the 4th Qtr

quote:

It’s going to be Q1 2024.


tomato/tomato
Posted by Dave_O
Member since Apr 2018
1209 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

this from the only billionaire I know


You don’t know any billionaires, frickhead.
Posted by greygoose
Member since Aug 2013
15060 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:24 pm to
quote:

Maybe I can score a nice used truck on the cheap then. We're currently trying to find a vehicle for my step-son, but prices are downright stupid.

Oh, don't worry. COVID and the supply chain pushed prices thru the roof. Idiots were buying whatever they could, at very inflated prices. All while not having to pay on their student loan.

Prices on cars are about to take a tumble.....just like houses.
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
19821 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

I think those rates will proof to be the anomaly, and I don’t think our national market psychologically has really considered that possibility just yet.

The Boomers are our largest generation and they had all of their money in the market during their highest earning years. Now they're moving into retirement and moving into cash and T-Bills because they can't handle risk. The next generation to have their money in the market is Gen-X, which is very small. This scarcity of capital is going to cause it to be expensive. It won't be cheap again until the Millennials (a large generation) are in their top earning years and flood the market with capital again.
This post was edited on 7/11/23 at 9:34 pm
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
51935 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:27 pm to
Gen x is smaller population wise?
Posted by 3nOut
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Jan 2013
32394 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:27 pm to
My entire industry is bracing for an abysmal final quarter.

Not a ton of cuts yet but most are being pretty conservative with expenditures.
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
19821 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:30 pm to
quote:

Gen x is smaller population wise?

Yes. Boomers and Millenials are much larger. Gen Z (Gen X's kids) is small too.
Posted by Cracker
in a box
Member since Nov 2009
19269 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:31 pm to
K

And what do any of us have to do with changing a damn thing? Idiot we realize this but thanks for the earth shattering news.
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
19821 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:33 pm to
quote:

Idiot we realize this but thanks for the earth shattering news.

Of all the Cracker types, I'm going to go out on a limb and guess that you're a Saltine.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
30482 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:34 pm to
quote:

Thankfully, ours isn't an export-driven economy and the dollar will still be strong enough to buy what we need from overseas.


But muh BRICS.
Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
19821 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:37 pm to
quote:

But muh BRICS.

China is currently in a barely-controlled implosion. Russia's economy is smaller than Texas'. All of the Chicken Littles worried about BRICS taking over the world need to research a little more.
Posted by TheBigHurt
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
2403 posts
Posted on 7/11/23 at 9:37 pm to
Crawfish prices will be going up.
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