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re: So the CDC estimates that the flu kills between 29k & 59k ppl per season
Posted on 8/7/20 at 9:35 am to TBoy
Posted on 8/7/20 at 9:35 am to TBoy
quote:Alot of awful assumptions here
So what you're saying is that Covid kills about 19.4k a month. And that's new deaths, on top of the existing 15k for flu. That flu goes away on its own every year after about three months. But Covid, the more aggressive killer, is year-round with no seasonal abatement. That the Covid will kill about 232,000 (19.4k x 12) each year, on top of the flu deaths. And there is no vaccine for Covid.
That's bleak.
Really really awful assumptions
Everyone getting covid-19 right now is experiencing a completely novel virus. That wont be the case going forward. Even without a vaccine, its death rate wont continually stay the same going forward
This post was edited on 8/7/20 at 9:37 am
1
Posted on 8/7/20 at 9:45 am to lsupride87
quote:
So my anecdotal evidence is the opposite of your anecdotal evidence, which is exactly why you shouldnt use anecdotal evidence
Yea, and we are all guilty of going just what you and I did.
Posted on 8/7/20 at 9:48 am to doubleb
quote:Im truly not
Yea, and we are all guilty of going just what you and I did
For better or worse, I use numbers and data to pretty much drive my entire line of thinking on things from sports to health etc etc
And the overwhelming data shows:
from 0-39: not as bad as the flu
40-55-bout the same as the flu
56-64-little worse than the flu
65-74-worse than the flu
75+-significantly worse than the flu
This post was edited on 8/7/20 at 9:49 am
Posted on 8/7/20 at 9:52 am to TDcline
quote:
Keep in mind that many of that 160k death toll have been attributed to Covid, despite many of them being related to other fatal incidents.
What number are use using for "many" ? And what is the margin of error ? Just curious... Is 10, 100, 1000, 10000 or 100,000 "many" ?
Posted on 8/7/20 at 10:11 am to CocomoLSU
quote:
JBE is telling us what to do and we can beat this thing. Just wear masks and don't go to places. JUST LISTEN! Nevermind that for literally 3-4 months, we did exactly that, and we still haven't "beaten" anything.
Literally no one started wearing masks in numbers until the mandate, and even then go to Denham, no one is doing it still today, I was shocked when I passed through this week.
quote:
don't go to places
Literally since the "Stay at home" order, people have been out in full force, it barely changed anything other than dine in restaurants and bars/gyms, and schools.
quote:
we did exactly that,
No, not at all. Instead of going to bars people are having more house parties. We barely compiled to anything other than schools shutting down, which was the big one, and they are opening right now, and getting quarantined left and right already.
There is definitely a fear campaign surrounding this, I don't think anyone can seriously argue against that, but there's truth to the virus and danger as well.
In the age of fake news and not believing anything you see in the MSM, a virus like this creates a very problematic set of issues.
This post was edited on 8/7/20 at 10:15 am
Posted on 8/7/20 at 10:45 am to BigPerm30
quote:Thx, I see the angle now. Who f'in knows anymore.....
Look at the states pushing mail in voting. It’s not absentee voting it’s sending out millions of live ballots that are not even requested. You don’t think that stinks of election fraud? It’s not just about the President. The house and senate is up for grabs. Dems pushing the mail in ballots hard. You can riot, go to casinos, go to restaurants, bars, and abortion clinics but you can’t go vote?
Posted on 8/7/20 at 10:45 am to lsupride87
quote:
Alot of awful assumptions here
Really really awful assumptions
Dude, those numbers and "assumptions" are straight out of the OP.
Posted on 8/7/20 at 6:33 pm to yaherrdme
quote:
What number are use using for "many" ? And what is the margin of error ? Just curious... Is 10, 100, 1000, 10000 or 100,000 "many" ?
About tree-fiddy
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