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re: Snow Tease for Baton Rouge (Saturday) UPDATE (1/20)

Posted on 1/20/22 at 6:10 pm to
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15270 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 6:10 pm to
NWS Austin office received reports of graupel mixing in
Posted by WylieTiger
Member since Nov 2006
14428 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 6:14 pm to
So school cancelled because of the cold!
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15270 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 6:30 pm to
Plant baws lighting up the radar in lake charles
Posted by maisweh
Member since Jan 2014
4222 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 6:49 pm to
quote:

Freezing line is somewhere around little Mogadishu right now
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15270 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 6:56 pm to
00z HRRR is starting to pick up more on the moisture in texas it looks like, still waiting for the rest of the update

eta:
kills that moisture off in a couple of hours
This post was edited on 1/20/22 at 7:04 pm
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18016 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 6:58 pm to
quote:

Yeah, I don’t think much has reached the ground today at all in TX

We've finally had a few drops in Houston, but radar definitely looks like a lot more is falling. Just too dry.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71777 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 7:07 pm to
Monroe is at 32° as of 6:53. Alexandria is at 38° and 39° on each of their stations.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175868 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

We've finally had a few drops in Houston, but radar definitely looks like a lot more is falling. Just too dry.

It’s gotta fall to moisten it up. And the evaporation will cool the surface off a little.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175868 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 7:07 pm to
quote:

Monroe is at 32° as of 6:53. Alexandria is at 38° and 39° on each of their stations.


I left the 1.4 inches of water in my gauge so I can go outside tomorrow and see it frozen.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71777 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 7:10 pm to
HRRR is still killing precip as it moves East. Radar shows some "Mix" near New Iberia, but I bet it isn't reaching the ground. Even if it is, it is 38° right now.
Posted by BananaManCan
Member since Sep 2009
4353 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 7:35 pm to
I guess I'm gonna have to go to work tomorrow.. frick
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
112662 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 7:38 pm to
quote:

It’s gotta fall to moisten it up


You can say that again.
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 7:45 pm to
quote:

I left the 1.4 inches of water in my gauge so I can go outside tomorrow and see it frozen.

If it's one of those cheap standard rain gages, it'll crack if the water freezes
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26044 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 7:50 pm to
quote:

You can say that again


He said it’s gotta fall to moisten it up
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1935 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 8:48 pm to
That 0z NAM run came in a little hot for the southern parishes
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
175868 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 8:53 pm to
0z NAM drops an inch of freezing rain on the Vermilion Bay shoreline
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71777 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 8:55 pm to
Of course!
Right where the clodest temps actually meets some moisture. Now, all that is needed is the precip....and the freezing temps.
Posted by LPLGTiger
Member since May 2013
2571 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 8:57 pm to
Checking in from Youngsville. Radar shows some precip. Just let the dog out to piss and it is drizzling some but thermometer outside only shows 38°
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1935 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 8:58 pm to
quote:

000 FXUS64 KLIX 210223 AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service
New Orleans LA 823 PM CST Thu Jan 20 2022

EVENING UPDATE...No major changes made to the forecast. Still looks like a good chance of seeing some minor frozen precipitation. Power outages and tree damage are not expected but it would not be out of the question to see ice accumulation just under 0.1" in a few locations. So where is that going to occur if it does, well there are two locations. First area which will be around the area that the heaviest precip is expected and that is in a southwest to northeast line between BTR and Thibodaux and towards Slidell and possibly coastal MS. Second area could be a good bit north where we weren`t anticipating much precip, this area possibly just south of the LA/MS border in the Florida parishes. The reason for this is we are currently watching a line of showers across southeast TX moving to the east. Previous days it was expected that any precip moving out of southeast TX would dissipate but looking at the radar and especially satellite this is looking less likely to completely dissipate. This area is also running the coldest currently in our CWA so there wouldn`t be any wasting of rain as that area cools to freezing. Overall looking at the WV there is a lot of lit moving right over the region. There was some concern that it may be suppressed a little south along with the moisture but currently looking that doesn`t appear to be the case. South LA and southern MS are both under the influence of the RRQ of the jet. This appears to be helping the convection as cooler cloud tops continue to stream in from the west and southwest. Radar is also showing echo return becoming a little more enhanced and moving in. Given our 00z sndg we still have some of the mid-levels to moisten up but the bottom 5k ft is already 90-100% saturated. We will send up another balloon shortly and see how much the column has changed and send another up around midnight. /CAB/
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
26044 posts
Posted on 1/20/22 at 8:58 pm to
quote:

Now, all that is needed is the precip....and the freezing temps.




:insertrockygif:
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