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re: Severe Weather Moving East Today

Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:46 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
42130 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

But aren’t 7 day forecasts rather inaccurate and unpredictable?


A Day 7 highlighted threat is very rare, particularly in January. That indicates, to me anyway, that they have confidence in the possibility of a significant severe weather threat, otherwise they would not even highlight it yet.

An SPC met said this about the threat yesterday:
quote:

Evan Bentley
@evan_bentley

Day 7 areas are rare (Between 0-6 each year), but Day 7 areas in January are even more rare. If my search through our archives is correct, this is only the 4th Day 7 area issued in January.
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 12:49 pm
Posted by tigerinthebueche
Member since Oct 2010
36791 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

But aren't forecasts rather inaccurate and unpredictable?



FIFY







ETA: all depends on the forecaster. I'll pay attention to what RDS says
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 12:49 pm
Posted by biggsc
32.4767389, 35.5697717
Member since Mar 2009
34209 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 12:54 pm to
I want snow!
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41536 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

The Prairieville tornado of 2016 was in February

Yea, most tornadoes in south Louisiana happen in February/March from what I can remember BUT I do not remember a Prairieville tornado in 2016. Refresh my memory. Are you referring to the one that ripped Gold's Gym apart? That's the only thing I can recall.
Posted by biggsc
32.4767389, 35.5697717
Member since Mar 2009
34209 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

Yea, most tornadoes in south Louisiana happen in February/March from what I can remember BUT I do not remember a Prairieville tornado in 2016. Refresh my memory. Are you referring to the one that ripped Gold's Gym apart? That's the only thing I can recall.

Still remember the storms last Feb/March that hit East Mississippi and East Alabama
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75148 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Are you referring to the one that ripped Gold's Gym apart?


Yes, and went across airline and took out the Popeyes sign.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120172 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:10 pm to
Will my flight out of MSY on saturday be ok?
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
883 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:10 pm to
quote:

I want snow!



long range models showing possible frozen precip by the end of next week
Posted by biggsc
32.4767389, 35.5697717
Member since Mar 2009
34209 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:11 pm to
Good!
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98133 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:11 pm to
RIP Punta Cana
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75148 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

long range models showing possible frozen precip by the end of next week



Link?
Posted by SATNIGHTS
Red Stick
Member since Jan 2008
2238 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:14 pm to
In for Snopocalypse!
Posted by purple18
Lafayette
Member since Aug 2009
883 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:17 pm to
Posted by tigerbandpiccolo
Member since Oct 2005
49284 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:18 pm to
That Prairieville tornado of 2016 caused 50k in damage to my house. One of three that it hit in pville after it hit golds gym and then crossed airline towards my house. It was so much not fun.

It did help in selling that house a few months later since it was treated to new roof, brick and stucco work, gutters, landscaping, new gate and paint. I was mostly sick about my gate. We had the gate totally redone about 2 weeks before and paid 3k out of pocket—was a huge yard. I walk outside after and behold, brand new gate is somewhere across the road and in my neighbors yard. Had I waited two more weeks I would have saved that and gotten a new one for free.
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 1:20 pm
Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:19 pm to
LINK

258-270 hour

If things continue the way they have so far, we will end up with 70 degree weather around that time.
Posted by SATNIGHTS
Red Stick
Member since Jan 2008
2238 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:26 pm to
Academy on Siegen is out of tire chains. FYI....
This post was edited on 1/6/20 at 1:26 pm
Posted by red sox fan 13
Valley Park
Member since Aug 2018
15334 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:31 pm to
Hopefully this doesn’t screw up travel to the NC game. I imagine most LSU fans will be fine though because they’ll just drive.
Posted by biggsc
32.4767389, 35.5697717
Member since Mar 2009
34209 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

Hopefully this doesn’t screw up travel to the NC game. I imagine most LSU fans will be fine though because they’ll just drive.

Agree
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75148 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 2:17 pm to
quote:

Hopefully this doesn’t screw up travel to the NC game. I imagine most LSU fans will be fine though because they’ll just drive.


They’ll be fine. LSU is a regional brand and not a national fan base like Notre Dame, Ohio St, USC and Miami.
Posted by LSUfanNkaty
LC, Louisiana
Member since Jan 2015
11096 posts
Posted on 1/6/20 at 2:21 pm to
quote:

They’ll be fine. LSU is a regional brand and not a national fan base like Notre Dame, Ohio St, USC and Miami.


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