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re: Severe Weather - Today - LA, MS, AL, NW FL

Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:43 pm to
Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76648 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:43 pm to
WAFBweather
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@WAFBweather
5m5 minutes ago
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Severe T-Storm Warning remains in effect for another 20 minutes or so for a portion of WBR, Iberville, and EBR Parishes. Pea to marble sized hail was reported with this storm in Plaquemine, LA. Damaging winds of 60 mph are also possible. Storm is moving to the NE at 45-50 mph.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Would you agree that central Mississippi, Alabama and into western GA are in for the worst?


Yes. Specifically southern central Mississippi in through Alabama.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

Seattle and Portland are the same way. Just the forecast of snow creates a panic


Atalanta has zero snow equipment so an inch or two and the city comes to a stand still. When I lived there if snow was in the forecast I made sure I left work an hour before the precipitation moved in to get home.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

Yes. Specifically southern central Mississippi in through Alabama.



Just curious, what is the reasoning behind this? Differential energy in the form of temperature, humidity...?
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

hail is being reported with this warned storm.

I just discovered "Hydrometeor classification" and it is now my favorite radar product because "hydrometeor" is an awesome word. It was definitely showing hail between the split and the bridge. Did anyone from around there see hail? I'm wondering how good this algorithm really is.
Posted by SATNIGHTS
Red Stick
Member since Jan 2008
2510 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:48 pm to
:nana:
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147863 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:49 pm to

Posted by MorbidTheClown
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2015
76648 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:49 pm to
pissin rain now on goodwood

ETA: anddd it stopped
This post was edited on 4/18/19 at 12:54 pm
Posted by ellishughtiger
70118
Member since Jul 2004
21182 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

Atalanta has zero snow equipment so an inch or two and the city comes to a stand still. When I lived there if snow was in the forecast I made sure I left work an hour before the precipitation moved in to get home.



we all remember from the winter vortex in 2014

Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

I just discovered "Hydrometeor classification" and it is now my favorite radar product because "hydrometeor" is an awesome word. It was definitely showing hail between the split and the bridge. Did anyone from around there see hail? I'm wondering how good this algorithm really is.


The algorithm is good enough for what it does. It takes several radar products and combines them to determine the type of precipitation at the particular tilt level. It isn't always what you will see on the ground cause it's reading at whatever height that tilt is at the time, so the farther you are from the radar site, the higher it's reading. Also in the event of winter weather it doesn't take into account refreezing so you may be seeing sleet, when it's showing rain. Typically the hybrind performs better in winter weather, but in severe weather, like today, I would say it's a wash between the two as they aren't totally accurate to ground truth, but an identifier of what precip could happen.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147863 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

NWS New Orleans @NWSNewOrleans
12:50pm: Damaging winds and small hail with this warned storm. A tornado could possibly develop.


Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

The algorithm is good enough for what it does. It takes several radar products and combines them to determine the type of precipitation at the particular tilt level. It isn't always what you will see on the ground cause it's reading at whatever height that tilt is at the time, so the farther you are from the radar site, the higher it's reading. Also in the event of winter weather it doesn't take into account refreezing so you may be seeing sleet, when it's showing rain. Typically the hybrind performs better in winter weather, but in severe weather, like today, I would say it's a wash between the two as they aren't totally accurate to ground truth, but an identifier of what precip could happen.

Cool. I'm guessing that the radar beam out of Slidell is a few thousand feet over Baton Rouge, even at the lowest tilt.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15899 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:55 pm to
looks like BR is done until the big line of rain gets here
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:57 pm to
Just took a walk about outside and the clouds are moving at a pretty decent clip toward the N/NW. Low level jet has definitely picked up. We're getting into the window for severe stuff now for the BR -> River Parishes -> Northshore now.

Most concern though is the northern sections. Felicianas. Northern Tangipahoa.
Posted by ellishughtiger
70118
Member since Jul 2004
21182 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:57 pm to
I'm sitting on my front porch uptown nola and hearing the monkeys at the zoo a few hundred feet away going nuts right now. What's it like in areas between BR and NOLA right now?
Posted by Palmetto08
Member since Sep 2012
4151 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Just curious, what is the reasoning behind this? Differential energy in the form of temperature, humidity...?


Because during this round of storms this is where the most serious weather will be. Guessing stronger storms coming from Gulf versus the north...

This post was edited on 4/18/19 at 12:59 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147863 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:58 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51446 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:58 pm to
Looks like the cells have moved out of the BR area now. Are you talking more about the line coming later?
Posted by LCA131
Home of the Fake Sig lines
Member since Feb 2008
77591 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Just took a walk about outside and the clouds are moving at a pretty decent clip toward the N/NW. Low level jet has definitely picked up. We're getting into the window for severe stuff now for the BR -> River Parishes -> Northshore now.

Most concern though is the northern sections. Felicianas.


Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:00 pm to
quote:


I'm sitting on my front porch uptown nola and hearing the monkeys at the zoo a few hundred feet away going nuts right now. What's it like in areas between BR and NOLA right now?



Meet me at Henry’s in 15
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