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re: Severe Weather - Today - LA, MS, AL, NW FL

Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:02 pm to
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Just curious, what is the reasoning behind this?


More time to heat up without rain. Low developing is pulling up to the NE, which will increase the low level winds and keep a good moisture feed off the gulf from the SE, in front of convection to the south. Just a little better from an energy perspective. Then the dynamics get a little bit better as the low gets stronger and closer to the area based on the spread of what I've seen from the high res models.

Basically, where the best mix of heat and wind profile through the atmosphere seem to be on a path to meet up.
Posted by TIGERBAIT84
Member since May 2007
1958 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:02 pm to
Circulation headed toward Killian?
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

hearing the monkeys


quote:

What's it like in BR


Same

This post was edited on 4/18/19 at 1:04 pm
Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15797 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Atalanta has zero snow equipment


January 29, 2014
The city of Atlanta has 40 snow plows, which is half of the 80 pieces of snow removal equipment St. Paul sends out every storm.

Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118260 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:03 pm to
RA’d
Posted by ellishughtiger
70118
Member since Jul 2004
21182 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:06 pm to
I was just at Tal's picking up lunch. I should have stopped by.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51446 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:06 pm to
You’re not funny.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

I was just at Tal's picking up lunch. I should have stopped by.


It’s only 1oclock.

Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

Are you talking more about the line coming later?


I'm talking about the best wind profiles for severe stuff seem to be moving it. It'll require a storm getting a good updraft going for this to materialize and it seems more like it'll be from the line as it rolls in.

It's bigger picture than BR too. The low level jet is getting stronger for the whole region and that will help get rotation going in cells. The good news is with all the convection that has fired, rotation in the updrafts is probably going to get interference from outflow from other cells but potential is there nonetheless.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51446 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:08 pm to
So there may likely be some little jet outs from the line as it gets closer?
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
42053 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:09 pm to
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53937 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:10 pm to
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51446 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:11 pm to
No he’s not. Read what he said again.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

Which is it Duke?


That rotation of cells is more likely now, but for Louisiana there's interference that should keep them from getting tornadic but for brief spin ups. It's how the risk has increased since noon and what is serving to limit the higher impact risk.

I could have been clearer.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216643 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

TDsngumbo



Calm down....
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
51446 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:14 pm to
I AM CALM!!!
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216643 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

I could have been clearer.




Not really....08 is just trying to start crap... You have been GREAT in this thread............
Posted by Chatagnier
Member since Sep 2008
6851 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:15 pm to
The wrong Duke showed up
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216643 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:15 pm to
quote:

I AM CALM!!!




Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216643 posts
Posted on 4/18/19 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

The wrong Duke showed up





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