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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding
Posted on 9/12/20 at 10:54 pm to MrLSU
Posted on 9/12/20 at 10:54 pm to MrLSU
quote:
This will be the first real storm that will demonstrate the hydrological impact of the Chalmette Wall water movement
Yep that's what I was thinking as well looking at the track.
0
Posted on 9/12/20 at 10:55 pm to lsugolfredman
Is there anything moving in they could steer this thing further and further left? The slow movement of this thing has me worried.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 10:56 pm to MrLSU
Didn't we learn from a storm that it just pushes into Laplace and into Maurepas?
Posted on 9/12/20 at 10:56 pm to lsugolfredman
The circled feature is the ULL discussed earlier. It is holding on for a while on the GFS and keeping the storm from fully stacking vertically until Monday morning. I think this feature, while subtle, is probably being depicted too strong by the 18 hour mark.
The GFS does manage to vertically align the storm by Monday morning like I said above.
Not perfect but better and why you're seeing a stronger storm this run.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 10:58 pm to Duke
Posted on 9/12/20 at 10:59 pm to t00f
It better stay east. You hate to wish this on someone else but...it really doesn't need to shift west to a high population city like new orleans that's super vulnerable with these type of rainfall projections. You laugh at those rainfall totals but in that projection there it's actually one of the better scenarios because most of it just get dumped into the gulf. It's still giving high totals in some areas but they're not as vulnerable as NO and it's certainly not some of the 20+ inch projections on that rainfall total scale.
A small shift west and NO is fricked...and that shift is very much a possibility as is a higher intensity forecast than what they have projected now. It's starting to get concerning.
A small shift west and NO is fricked...and that shift is very much a possibility as is a higher intensity forecast than what they have projected now. It's starting to get concerning.
This post was edited on 9/12/20 at 11:02 pm
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:01 pm to lsugolfredman
I don’t like this one selfishly.
A few pages back it was posted that Latoya called mandatory Evacuation for Nola outside of the levee system. How much of Nola does that involve?
A few pages back it was posted that Latoya called mandatory Evacuation for Nola outside of the levee system. How much of Nola does that involve?
This post was edited on 9/12/20 at 11:02 pm
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:04 pm to tiger91
quote:
How much of Nola does that involve?
Nothing that you’d consider New Orleans.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:05 pm to tiger91
Not a lot, area called Venetian Isles is the main area. You don't move out there without knowing the consequences.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:05 pm to tiger91
Not much, it’s mostly Venetian Isles and the folks along U.S. 90 between Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Borgne.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:05 pm to tiger91
quote:
How much of Nola does that involve?
Ghana have to figure that one out.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:05 pm to fightin tigers
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:10 pm to lsugolfredman
Those rain totals aren’t good but are MUCH more reasonable.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:11 pm to slackster
Slack- what are your thoughts on Ms. Rita’s in MC? Everything I have tried to go it hasn’t worked. I settled for Atchafalaya last night
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:14 pm to rds dc
latest GFS
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:15 pm to theOG
Thanks all — I was just trying to imagine the shite show that a huge evacuation would be.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:16 pm to CaptainJ47
quote:
Those rain totals aren’t good but are MUCH more reasonable.
10-13 inches for Orleans Parish?
We are talking about the NOLA S&WB here. They can barely handle 2 inches.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:16 pm to DVinBR
Is that moving more west or am I making that up?
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:18 pm to tiger91
The GFS has been a little more west the last two runs but it's subtle. The problem is it'll make a big difference for NOLA. It doesn't have a lot of room to get much farther west than is being shown. Ridge builds in east to push it north by Tuesday late morning.
Posted on 9/12/20 at 11:25 pm to Duke
Hurricane Sally has flooded Key West's Duval Street tonight.
Duval Crawl is now the Duval Street Swim
Duval Crawl is now the Duval Street Swim
This post was edited on 9/12/20 at 11:25 pm
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