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re: Preliminary Ratings: Lacombe Tornado - EF1; NOLA/Arabi Tornado - EF3

Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:04 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75135 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:04 pm to
New warning South of Columbus and West of Columbus.
This post was edited on 3/22/22 at 3:05 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51709 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:05 pm to


Mesoscale Discussion 0311
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0256 PM CDT Tue Mar 22 2022

Areas affected...Western Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 62...

Valid 221956Z - 222200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 62 continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for damaging wind gusts and QLCS tornadoes
will continue into western Alabama this afternoon. The threat will
generally be greater in west-central Alabama where moisture/buoyancy
is greater.

DISCUSSION...Storms within central/eastern Mississippi have largely
remained linear this afternoon. There are some discrete cells ahead
of the the primary line. The most substantial of these discrete
storms is moving northeast through Kemper County, MS and has
recently shown a TDS on KDGX radar. The overall expectation is for
these cells to be overtaken by the line in the next 60-90 minutes.
Going forward, wind damage and QLCS tornadoes are expected to be the
primary threats as convection moves into western Alabama. The
environment ahead of the convective line has been able to warm to
near 80 F in several places. However, moisture return in Alabama has
been much less than in Mississippi. Consequently, MLCAPE values have
remained from 300-400 J/kg in northern Alabama to 500-700 in
west-central Alabama. Due to the forward speed of the line, it is
uncertain how much further destabilization can occur through the
afternoon. In any event, some potential for damaging wind gusts and
QLCS tornadoes will exist given the strong low-level winds and
low-level hodograph turning observed in region VWPs.
This post was edited on 3/22/22 at 3:06 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75135 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:10 pm to
Getting some big wind just on the outskirts of Scooba.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51709 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:10 pm to
While it is still likely we will see more tornadoes and possibly a strong one somewhere, I personally don't think the moderate risk has verified today. Either in placement of the moderate risk or in intensity of the storms.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177321 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

KDGX struggling a bit to cut through the rhe heavy precip with the storm that far out.


Need to wax up that radome
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75135 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:17 pm to
Observed North of Columbus.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75135 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:18 pm to
Winds steady at 30 gusting to near 40 here in North AL.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75135 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:19 pm to
May be back on the ground heading into Macon.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64516 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:20 pm to
Radar scope with a TVS roughly around New Albany MS right now, little surprised to see that with no warning but I’m probably being radar dumb
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40230 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:20 pm to
What happened to 08 by the way?
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20704 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:21 pm to
Close to Norwood Rd.
This post was edited on 3/22/22 at 3:25 pm
Posted by Sao
East Texas Piney Woods
Member since Jun 2009
68469 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:21 pm to
Some of path just outside Gilmer. Vid is shot going w on 154 towards town. Going back to the east, it was on the ground for another 20+ miles all the way across Lake O The Pines. Thousands of old growth trees down. Lots of homes and barns destroyed.

Twitter
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20704 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:23 pm to
quote:

He said don't worry about your knuckles, just bring your arse because that's what needs to be kicked.

Neither one.

One word - avoidance.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:24 pm to
quote:

What happened to 08 by the way?




tertiary syphilis
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75135 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:25 pm to
Macon is probably seeing some decent hail.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102715 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:27 pm to



quote:

personally don't think the moderate risk has verified today. Either in placement of the moderate risk or in intensity of the storms.


They changed it last minute to save face. It absolutely didn’t materialize in SE Louisiana or south ms. It was significantly severe to justify a moderate but it should have been in central ms and west Alabama
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147126 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:27 pm to
Ryan Hall struggling with Shuqualak
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
102715 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:28 pm to
Cell near Quitman ms might do something
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75135 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

Some of path just outside Gilmer.

Likely EF3 from the looks of it.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75135 posts
Posted on 3/22/22 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

Ryan Hall struggling with Shuqualak

MS will do that to you.
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