re: Preliminary Ratings: Lacombe Tornado - EF1; NOLA/Arabi Tornado - EF3

just in case nobody saw the first two

Updated Day 5 and Day 6:

quote:

---

I'll sleep knowing how bad it might get in SELA with all the personal connections I have down that way

---

Don’t worry rt, I’m sure all your favorite hookers will be fine

I didn’t want to say anything because people here hate it when you say stuff like this and downplay an event. But these southeast Louisiana only severe events never really come to fruition. We just don’t get the same severe weather they get a little farther north down there. The proximity to the Gulf and Lake Pontchartrain limit the mixing. That’s not to say that part of Louisiana never gets tornadoes - because they do. The Southeast part of Louisiana doesn’t usually get tornadoes on their own. Usually there’s a larger outbreak up north and Southeast Louisiana gets some residual tornadoes out of that. In confirming this climatology maps show the tornado threat decreases the farther south in Louisiana you go. There wasn’t even one tornado warning from the Slidell office tonight.

100% this event was definitely a nothing burger for south east Louisiana. But the news talked like the world was going to end last night between 12-6am bc of all the weather. I almost didn’t worry about setting an alarm to get up and come to work I just figured it would get destroyed last night

quote:

---

I didn’t want to say anything because people here hate it when you say stuff like this and downplay an event. But these southeast Louisiana only severe events never really come to fruition. We just don’t get the same severe weather they get a little farther north down there. The proximity to the Gulf and Lake Pontchartrain limit the mixing

---

It's fine to talk failure mechanisms. A stable pbl was certainly the primary downside last night and thats what happened.

quote:

---

The Southeast part of Louisiana doesn’t usually get tornadoes on their own. Usually there’s a larger outbreak up north and Southeast Louisiana gets some residual tornadoes out of that. In confirming this climatology maps show the tornado threat decreases the farther south in Louisiana you go. There wasn’t even one tornado warning from the Slidell office tonight.

---

Yes. All true.

But you have to talk about a risk like last night on the chance it does hit because nighttime tornado that had those dynamics to work with is bad news.