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Started By
Message
Paging rds -- 50% chance of development in SW Gulf - heading for SELA
Posted on 10/24/19 at 9:44 am
Posted on 10/24/19 at 9:44 am
quote:
The disturbance is now Invest 97L and at 50%. 950 AM EDT Thu Oct 24 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Early morning visible satellite images indicate that the circulation of the low pressure area in the Bay of Campeche has become a little better defined. The associated showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization, and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression before it merges with a cold front by late Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
3
Posted on 10/24/19 at 9:46 am to TDsngumbo
This post was edited on 10/24/19 at 9:47 am
Posted on 10/24/19 at 9:49 am to 225Tyga
I'm sure there have been many but I can't recall a named storm hitting SELA in late October/early November
Posted on 10/24/19 at 9:50 am to Fun Bunch
Juan is the only one I can think of. Chances are this will only be a depression and it may even be extra tropical since it's going to merge with the front. But who knows? Either way, lots of rain.
Posted on 10/24/19 at 9:55 am to TDsngumbo
It's just going to bring rain this way.
Posted on 10/24/19 at 9:57 am to Duke
How much rain are we looking at?
Posted on 10/24/19 at 10:02 am to Duke
Wont the front basically tear it apart?
Posted on 10/24/19 at 10:06 am to Fun Bunch
Hurricane Juan 1985 checking in.
I can remember this because. I almost had to go trick or treating in a pirogue.
I can remember this because. I almost had to go trick or treating in a pirogue.
Posted on 10/24/19 at 10:09 am to TDsngumbo
Juan came in and got us twice in the mid80’s. We went fishing between the rains and loaded up. Love that low pressure,storm surge.
Posted on 10/24/19 at 10:09 am to bigberg2000
SEC should change game to 8:00pm for tropical storm safety or something.
Posted on 10/24/19 at 10:12 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
How much rain are we looking at?
IIRC last night on WAFB they said between 3-5” Friday & Saturday
Posted on 10/24/19 at 10:13 am to bigberg2000
quote:
Wont the front basically tear it apart?
Yeah, it terms of being a tropical system. Any organization will quickly get ripped apart by the larger feature coming in. Typical late October.
The moisture it picks up will get pulled north into a weak surface low that will be developing over the weekend. Bring most of south Louisiana 2-4" of rain.
Posted on 10/24/19 at 10:13 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Juan is the only one I can think of.
So you can only think of Juan?
Get it?
Juan.
Posted on 10/24/19 at 10:32 am to rds dc
quote:
rds dc
Thank you for your always spot-on analysis.
Posted on 10/24/19 at 10:38 am to OysterPoBoy
Bravo. lets get Juan big round of applause for this guy
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