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OT weather nerds
Posted on 3/9/18 at 12:37 pm
Posted on 3/9/18 at 12:37 pm
"strong" front moving thru this weekend? Whats the resident OT weather gurus seeing as far as severe weather?
slight risk for NLA. Marginal for everyone else. Whats the difference meteorologically?
slight risk for NLA. Marginal for everyone else. Whats the difference meteorologically?
This post was edited on 3/9/18 at 12:38 pm
6
Posted on 3/9/18 at 12:38 pm to tigerinthebueche
Posted on 3/9/18 at 12:40 pm to TigerDude80
Posted on 3/9/18 at 12:43 pm to tigerinthebueche
I don't know, but if you check with Diane Deaton on Monday she will claim that she warned you about whatever happened, no matter what happens. 
Posted on 3/9/18 at 12:44 pm to TigerDude80
Those categories are misleading. In my experience:
Marginal = don't plan anything outdoors
Slight = prayers sent
Moderate = RIP
Marginal = don't plan anything outdoors
Slight = prayers sent
Moderate = RIP
Posted on 3/9/18 at 12:52 pm to Jim Rockford
The categories mean what they mean. Period.
Posted on 3/9/18 at 12:57 pm to tigerinthebueche
You never really can tell with severe weather. We're in the Marginal risk category but close to the "Slight" risk category. We may have an isolated severe storm or two, we may not see any rain at all, or we may have a significant outbreak.
In February 2017's outbreak, we were only in a slight risk zone early that morning. By noon, New Orleans, Donaldsonville, and Killian were all shredded by significant tornadoes.
In February 2017's outbreak, we were only in a slight risk zone early that morning. By noon, New Orleans, Donaldsonville, and Killian were all shredded by significant tornadoes.
Posted on 3/9/18 at 1:07 pm to tigerinthebueche
We are moving in F5 season baws. Hold onto your butts.
Posted on 3/9/18 at 1:12 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
We are moving in F5 season baws. Hold onto your butts.
Please don't wish F5's on us.
I was on a search for a gif of the guy from Twister calling F5's the "finger of God" when I came across a better twister gif. Here y'all go!
Posted on 3/9/18 at 1:15 pm to TigerDude80
So you're asking nerds for advice?
Nerd
Nerd
Posted on 3/9/18 at 1:20 pm to poops_at_parties
quote:
Please don't wish F5's on us.
Oh, I missed the Rowlett F4 by about 30 minutes a few Decembers back driving home from New Orleans. Was actually the last time I drove from DFW to New Orleans. I fly now
Posted on 3/9/18 at 2:25 pm to tigerinthebueche
Unless the storm prediction center places southeast Louisiana in a Watch Box by noon tomorrow, I would not be too concerned.
Hail and strong down drafts may occur in isolated severe thunderstorms. Looks like best dynamics and thermodynamics will occur north if Covington, La to Alexandria line.
UpDate: 2 pm Friday : SPC now shifts slight Risk area northward citing weaker lapse rates over SE La with less solar heating likely due to cloud cover/ Precipitation cooling. More stable layer would likely reduce severe weather over south central/ SELa.
Hail and strong down drafts may occur in isolated severe thunderstorms. Looks like best dynamics and thermodynamics will occur north if Covington, La to Alexandria line.
UpDate: 2 pm Friday : SPC now shifts slight Risk area northward citing weaker lapse rates over SE La with less solar heating likely due to cloud cover/ Precipitation cooling. More stable layer would likely reduce severe weather over south central/ SELa.
This post was edited on 3/9/18 at 2:33 pm
Posted on 3/9/18 at 2:39 pm to Klingler7
:jump1:
Posted on 3/9/18 at 3:05 pm to tigerinthebueche
Trying too hard son
This post was edited on 3/9/18 at 3:06 pm
Posted on 3/9/18 at 3:06 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
Oh, I missed the Rowlett F4 by about 30 minutes a few Decembers back driving home from New Orleans. Was actually the last time I drove from DFW to New Orleans.
Interesting. We were driving back from Baton Rouge about the same time however my experience was much worse. We had a dropping tornado go right over our vehicle in the Canton area. All of our phones were going crazy with alerts. Then, we're heading into the east side of DFW and the F4 misses us by no more than a mile as we're on 635. My stupid daughter is asking me to plug in a usb while the shite is hitting the fan.....you serious Clark? Scary moment.
Posted on 3/9/18 at 3:11 pm to Jim Rockford
quote:
Those categories are misleading. In my experience:
Marginal = don't plan anything outdoors
Slight = prayers sent
Moderate = RIP
High = get out video camera
Posted on 3/9/18 at 3:24 pm to Klingler7
quote:
SPC now shifts slight Risk area northward citing weaker lapse rates over SE La with less solar heating likely due to cloud cover/ Precipitation cooling. More stable layer would likely reduce severe weather over south central/ SELa.
Typical late winter "severe" set up for here. Decent shear, marginal (at best in this case) lift. Not worried.
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