re: OT Watch Thread: Tudor Black Bay 58 Bronze: New or Used?

Nothing I said is putting it down. I have spent a ridiculous amount of money on things others think I’m crazy for. They’d say the same thing to me. But regardless, that’s how I feel. I don’t get it. It’s 2023. Let your phone be your watch unless your a diver

Tudor submariner versions from 20 years ago are now quadruple their original price or more.

I don’t think anyone “knows” it, but I’m pretty sure a brown one won’t!

I’d buy the black model Tudor used though.

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I don’t think anyone “knows” it, but I’m pretty sure a brown one won’t!

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That would be betting against history. The watches that aren't highly exclusive that tend to have the most appreciation are the oddballs that nobody wanted when they were available. Look at the manual wind Daytonas, stores could barely give them away when they were being made.

While I don't think any of the modern Tudors (post 2012 US reintroduction) are going to see significant appreciation any time soon ones to consider IMO would be:

The first 41mm Black Bays with ETA movements. The were discontinued fairly quickly (especially the blue) and they have visually different dials which collectors prefer over other differentiators. The Tudor rose and smiley face text are preferred by most in a vacuum. The proportion of in-house compared to ETA grows every day.

The Black Bay P01, they discontinued it because it didn't sell well but I bet one day it will become coveted after someone puts out a retrospective piece on it and fuels demand like Hodinkee did with the Speedmaster Mk40 and John Mayer about every third time he opens his mouth re watches.

I would have said the BB Harrods edition when you had to pick them up in person in London but now they will just mail you one.



My point is don't discount the oddballs as they are the ones that when people decide they want them the supply is small. That being said there are only a small number of modern watches that have any chance of a large appreciation over time IMO. Some are hot for a while but sooner or later the model is updated, the pent-up demand is sated and/or people just move onto the next thing.

I have the Tudor black bay bronze. I love it. It’s turned an almost green hue. I like vintage watches though, so the aging appeals to me.

At least it’s on a strap, albeit with some hideous lug treatment, like a real watch.