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re: Official Harvey Observation Thread

Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:40 am to
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
20561 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:40 am to
Just watched a bunch Snapchats from that area and it doesnt look too bad, hopefully his house is still there.

Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40009 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:46 am to
His house meaning who??
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:46 am to
Looks like Harvey will end up in the Top 15, there is little doubt that if Harvey would have organized the inner core 12 hrs sooner that it would have made a run at the Top 5.

Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70576 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:47 am to
Been getting pounded up in the humble/kingwood area. Looks like the outer band that's been on too of us is moving east but could easily shift back.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
176183 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:49 am to
Goes to show that Harvey wasn't sustaining it was rapidly intensifying those hours before landfall
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:50 am to
quote:

Where are you getting these totals? I just checked and it says around 2.5 inches.


I believe that Victoria report is really the general Victoria area.

The NE part of Houston has seen up to 4 inches in the last 3 hours.

SW of Victoria has seen over 14 inches in the last 12 hours.

Last 12 hour totals:



LINK
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:52 am to
This looks really bad for the Houston area with an intense feeder band training cells in off the Gulf.



Posted by When in Rome
Telegraph Road
Member since Jan 2011
36163 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:53 am to
Do you think the storm will really sit over Houston until Friday?
Posted by baytiger
Boston
Member since Dec 2007
46978 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:53 am to
quote:



I believe that Victoria report is really the general Victoria area.



It's Victoria center. NWS has been pulling the obs there, probably due to a couple spurious reports a few days ago. The data looks fine to me now so they might verify it in post storm analysis.


new advisory still has a Hurricane.. moving north at 2 kts
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 9:55 am to
Totals so far, seeing some reports that NWS can't confirm the really high reports from around Victoria (not shown) and thinks they are possibly bad data.

Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
36980 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:00 am to
quote:


Models have no damn clue where it's going to go


That picture is the definition of a clusterfrick.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
63755 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:11 am to
He got his shite in gear just in time to frick things up
Posted by noonan
Nassau Bay, TX
Member since Aug 2005
37001 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:11 am to
We are getting some rain, not really any wind right now. It fit windy last night around midnight but not a lot of rain at that time.

I stopped watching the weather Channel because it seems like they know about as much as I do.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:12 am to
It's hard to put faith in any models given the extreme nature of this setup, but the insane rainfall total signal continues with the 12z 3K NAM showing 36"+ for Houston over the next 60 hrs. It looks like 42" for the Woodlands...

Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34894 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:14 am to
Should we still be concerned about this thing coming back towards the east?
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
40009 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:14 am to
Rds that forecast is for when?
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
36980 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:17 am to
From the NHC discussion at 10am

quote:

The only agreement among the track guidance is that Harvey is certainly not going anywhere fast.


I think this sums it up pretty well.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:18 am to
quote:

that forecast is for when?


That is a 48hr projection, so from this morning to Monday morning.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21041 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:19 am to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91362 posts
Posted on 8/26/17 at 10:19 am to
quote:

It's Victoria center. NWS has been pulling the obs there, probably due to a couple spurious reports a few days ago. The data looks fine to me now so they might verify it in post storm analysis.
Damn. Pretty crazy since the immediate Victoria area doesn't seem to have received the same totals.
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