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re: Official Arctic Air Blast/Winter Weather Thread

Posted on 1/13/24 at 4:04 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50624 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 4:04 pm to
This is the 12km NAM at 3:00 AM CST Tuesday. You can see some form of wintry precipitation. Snow/Sleet/Freezing rain is taking over the northern half of Alabama.



Right now, for us Alabama folks, I don’t think there will be a lot of precipitation, particularly south of the Tennessee Valley. However, with the temps we are going to have, it will not take much wintry precip to cause road issues.

Same model at the same time shows the accumulated snow and sleet this way:

This post was edited on 1/13/24 at 4:06 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71175 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 4:10 pm to
The big difference between the NAM and the HRRR is the NAM favors freezing rain and the HRRR favors snow. It has been that way since this started getting into range.

Our (north AL) Winter Storm Watch is solely snow-focused. As of at least this morning, there was no mention of ice. Guess NWS Huntsville favors the snow solutions. I hope they're right.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71175 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

A shite ton. Played a lot of golf. Spent a lot of time in my pool. Way better than this sub-freezing bullshite. But I'm not a fatass.

Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50624 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 4:13 pm to
NWS Birmingham is likely going to be issuing a Winter Weather Advisory for most of central Alabama. They say it could extend as far south as places like Selma and Alexander City. They noted, like I mentioned above, that it won’t take much wintry precip to cause issues with the very cold surface temperatures we’re expected to have.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:00 pm to
Winter precip just got heavier on the latest GFS run (Baton Rouge).
Even more so for Lafayette.

I’m referring to the 18z or 6 pm model.
Targeting Tuesday at 6 am for the heaviest precip.

Showing 2-3” of “snow” from Laffy to around Port Allen.
It’ll like be freezing rain and sleet and maybe not accumulate much.
This post was edited on 1/13/24 at 5:02 pm
Posted by UnclePat76
McHenry County Illinois
Member since Sep 2004
3713 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:00 pm to
Drive safe, RTR!

Watch out for black ice. Can’t see it but when you go over a patch you sure as hell know what it is.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
50624 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:05 pm to
quote:

Drive safe, RTR!

Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:10 pm to

Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:11 pm to
Thanks for the image.
I wonder if the local Mets even acknowledge that it could get cold soon.
Posted by Athis
I AM Charlie Kirk....
Member since Aug 2016
15645 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:22 pm to
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora
Member since Sep 2012
72780 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:22 pm to
That L off the coast of NC in the model.. wouldn't that create a wedge effect and push moisture down into NE GA down to NE ATL and Athens areas, right into the freezing temps?
Posted by RBTiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2011
8935 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:28 pm to
Yep this changed from last night.
BR with some ICE Tues AM
Cameron ; Avery Island ; New Iberia to Hammond
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
63633 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:29 pm to
Yikes
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
18530 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:35 pm to
I dunno why - but i feel that because the sever weather never appeared, that the universe is gonna make this one over produce
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15206 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 5:41 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71175 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 6:03 pm to
4° is now my forecast high for Tuesday with a high of 24°.

The record low for that date is 2°, and the record lowest high is 24° (for Huntsville). Gonna get close, I think.
This post was edited on 1/13/24 at 6:06 pm
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104148 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 6:08 pm to
Better get to the barber and freshen up that NIH before the chill settles in.
Posted by pioneerbasketball
Team Bunchie
Member since Oct 2005
139098 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 6:15 pm to
Can someone tell me why Everybody keeps telling me to let the faucets run?
Posted by Twincam
Member since Nov 2021
928 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

Can someone tell me why Everybody keeps telling me to let the faucets run?


Pipes can burst in cold weather?
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71175 posts
Posted on 1/13/24 at 6:21 pm to
It is just a Big Water ploy to scalp your pocket book, no doubt.
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