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re: New Year’s Day Severe Weather Thread - Enhanced Risk in AL, TN, MS, AR

Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:10 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75091 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:10 pm to
Hard to tell, but we could have something on the ground near Columbus.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51688 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:11 pm to


DISCUSSION...A mix of multicell clusters and transient supercell
structures should continue tracking east-northeastward from eastern
MS across parts of northern to west-central AL during the next few
hours. Here, a moist airmass (middle/upper 60s dewpoints) is
contributing to around 1000 J/kg MLCAPE where the latest VWPs show
0-6 km bulk shear of 60-70 knots. While storms have struggled across
the warm sector thus far owing to limited large-scale forcing for
ascent and weak low-level convergence, a low-level jet is expected
to overspread the area which may support a few longer-lived
multicell clusters and supercells over the next few hours. The
latest VWPs from GWX and HTX show 0-1 km SRH values of 250-300 m2/s2
ahead of the ongoing convection, which will support a risk of a few
tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, and isolated large hail with any
sustained supercells or intense multicells across the area.
This post was edited on 1/1/22 at 6:12 pm
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51688 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:13 pm to
I imagine BMX is going to hold off on issue a tornado warning for Lamar County, AL for now.
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177279 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:15 pm to
Nothing severe yet but a decent line strengthening through north Louisiana.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75091 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:15 pm to
We're about to have a tornado East of Ardmore toward Hazel Green.

Almost positive we have one. CC is shite right now, though. Bookend vortex West of Hazel Green.
This post was edited on 1/1/22 at 6:16 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75091 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:16 pm to
The cap is pretty much gone. Fellow North AL folks, pay attention.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75091 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:28 pm to
No warning on this, but I think it should be warned:


Now it is finally warned. Good grief, NWS Huntsville, get your shite together.
This post was edited on 1/1/22 at 6:30 pm
Posted by footswitch
Meridianville, Alabama
Member since Apr 2015
4697 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:37 pm to
It went north of me inNew Market Alabama. Watching it go through Elora and headed to the home of Johnny Majors, Huntland Tn.
Posted by footswitch
Meridianville, Alabama
Member since Apr 2015
4697 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:38 pm to
Debris pattern for Huntland. Tv report
Posted by JoeHackett
Member since Aug 2016
5171 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:39 pm to
Posted by footswitch
Meridianville, Alabama
Member since Apr 2015
4697 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:39 pm to
Lots of chicken houses as well as population. Watch out Francisco Al
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75091 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:39 pm to
Warning now North of Millport from the Columbus storm.
This post was edited on 1/1/22 at 6:40 pm
Posted by footswitch
Meridianville, Alabama
Member since Apr 2015
4697 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:43 pm to
Thanks again my friend.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75091 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:45 pm to
Posted by footswitch
Meridianville, Alabama
Member since Apr 2015
4697 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:46 pm to
The very first rain is just now falling at north east Madison county Alabama state line .
Damage in Hazel Green. Tv reported
Posted by footswitch
Meridianville, Alabama
Member since Apr 2015
4697 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:48 pm to
Now headed to Cowan and Sewanee
Posted by footswitch
Meridianville, Alabama
Member since Apr 2015
4697 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:49 pm to
Redeveloped a bit.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75091 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:50 pm to
Damage reports from Prospect to New Market.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75091 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:54 pm to
Posted by TigerOnTheMountain
Higher Elevation
Member since Oct 2014
41773 posts
Posted on 1/1/22 at 6:59 pm to
SKYWARN activated for N GA and SW NC. We’re under a watch now until 0300.
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