re: Morganza Spillway may or may not open for a 3rd time -- lack of clear info from ACoE

The Red River sort of becomes the Atchafalaya River at the ORCS.

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I guess they'll be raising and lowering max flood height everyday.

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This.

They add in forecasted rain for the next two days period, so it will vary on that and how much actually falls over the watershead.

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Duke, do you see anything that would point to a higher crest than 43.5 in Baton Rouge?

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That would come down to the forecast precipitation for central US and the midwest, Over the next month.

Arent they planning a huge barataria bay diversion to be built soon??

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Duke, do you see anything that would point to a higher crest than 43.5 in Baton Rouge?

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That's outside my wheelhouse man. The big picture pattern looks better, but that's got room to change and I'm far from qualified to translate what the current model rainfalls would actually mean.

Models are spread precip wise over the Ohio. GFS puts a decent amount down but the new GFS and Canadian aren't showing anything spectacular. The biggest difference this week is the ridge isn't ever really building in on the west coast as expected but the problematic SE ridge (that's been steering storms to the Ohio valley) isn't prominent either. If that holds, we're more likely to see systems cut across the northern gulf than get forced farther north but it's hard to be sold on any set pattern as we go into March.

So it's wait and see but note it takes a lot more water to raise the level the higher we get.

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Arent they planning a huge barataria bay diversion to be built soon??

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That's for land re-creation purposes within the barataria bay not for water control measure. That would not be open during high water/emergency events. Bonne Carre and Morganza are the two spillways for emergency water elevations....but there are plenty of control pump structures to adjust flows between Atchafalaya River and Mississippi River. If there is a lot of rainfall in Atchafalaya Basin watershed they will pump water into Mississippi river and vise versa...

Article in the Advocate says the Bonnet Carre' has only been open 13 times since 1931. 3 of those 13 has been since 2016....

Why not just seal off the Old River outlet? Not saying it would be a good idea, I like the idea that the Atchafalaya is buidling a delta. I'm just wondering if if it would be technically feasible.

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Why not just seal off the Old River outlet? Not saying it would be a good idea, I like the idea that the Atchafalaya is buidling a delta. I'm just wondering if if it would be technically feasible.

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You would have to build another outlet downriver to keep BR and NOLA from flooding. You are pulling a lot of water off the Mississippi at Old River.

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Again, your comprehension skills need work, yes only talking lower plaq.

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Well, many people on this thread have been talking all of South LA. I thought you were in that group.

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You're either trolling or fairly dense, either way it would probably be beneficial for you to take a drive down there sometime. Maybe then you will have a clearer picture.

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I live in St. Bernard, I go down there a lot. A lot of times to clear my mind, I'll drive to Venice on a weekend afternoon. Take the Belle Chasse Ferry.

If you read up earlier in the thread, you will find where I said we will likely have to make a tough decision about Plaq south of Belle Chasse in the next 40-50 years. It indeed would be expensive AF and I don't know politically if it's possible. But that area, if you compare the amount of money we spend to protect it vs the economic impact of the area... is closer to even than pretty much anywhere else.