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re: Media rushes to remind everyone that 1 extremely cold event doesn't debunk global warming

Posted on 1/30/19 at 8:59 am to
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84081 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 8:59 am to
quote:

I do trust the predictions based on these trends.



Which predictions specifically? Anything other than "sea level will not remain constant" is little more than speculation IMO.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35610 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:01 am to
quote:

Anything other than "sea level will not remain constant" is little more than speculation


Based on physics.

Imperfect models yes, but "speculation" informed by physics.
Posted by bigberg2000
houston, from chalmette
Member since Sep 2005
70035 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:03 am to
Y’all do know that if global warming was an actual thing it would probably cause a mini ice age correct?

Weather is becoming more extreme. There is no reason to fight about the reason. This is the craziest political thing ever. STOP FIGHTING ABOUT WHO IS RIGHT ABOUT EVERYTHING.
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
43334 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:09 am to
quote:

There is no reason to fight about the reason.


There is when there's money and power at stake.

The benefits of having a massive government that has tendrils in to every aspect of our lives.

Posted by crewdepoo
Hogwarts
Member since Jan 2015
9596 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:10 am to
195 countries believe global warming is man made and have agreed to mitigate it. Our president and his loonies think it’s fake and made up by the Chinese. End thread
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73566 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:13 am to
quote:

195 countries believe global warming is man made and have agreed to mitigate it


hey back to us when China and India agree hoss

quote:

Our president and his loonies think it’s fake and made up by the Chinese


Beta Male
Posted by TT9
Global warming
Member since Sep 2008
82952 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Beta Male

Trump indeed, hell Pelosi handed him his arse.

I'll trust the scientists over the Horse haired loon as far as climate change.

Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73566 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:19 am to
Imagine being a male and being on Team Pelosi

Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
43334 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:21 am to
quote:

195 countries believe global warming is man made and have agreed to mitigate it.


You're rather naive if you think any of those countries are actually going to do anything to mitigate "global warming."

Not to mention most of them stand to gain a great deal of wealth from it.

And the main country responsible doesn't give two shits.\

It's nothing but virtue signaling on the international stage.
This post was edited on 1/30/19 at 9:22 am
Posted by TOSOV
Member since Jan 2016
8922 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:25 am to
quote:

Al gore didn't do this for the greater good of humanity. He peddled a bunch of iffy at best science to make a shitload of money. Questioning the science behind man-made climate change is perfectly rational.



Even after his global warming mentor started questioning it all. Gore was to far invested to stop. Guy is a true POS
Posted by OppositeMan
Member since Apr 2018
1853 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:39 am to
quote:

What do these people actually expect us to do as individuals about global warming? There are countries with billions of people that are fricking this place up way more than we ever could.


Don't even ask this question...this is what they want you to ask...you mind as well just take your wallet out now.

Don't oblige them in anyway whatsoever.
Posted by tommy2tone1999
St. George, LA
Member since Sep 2008
6772 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:40 am to
Yet one hurricane supports it?
Posted by sodcutterjones
Member since May 2018
1243 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:46 am to
quote:

195 countries believe global warming is man made and have agreed to mitigate it. Our president and his loonies think it’s fake and made up by the Chinese. End thread


And only one country will pay for it. Id rather my tax dollars go towards REAL problems.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35610 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:55 am to
quote:

Yet one hurricane supports it?


No single weather event supports climate change. It's a question of frequency and with hurricanes it's more a question of rate of the rapidly strengthening storms imho, since they won't take full advantage of the additional heat if they are organizationally challenged.

The question is more are we seeing faster strengthening in rapid intensification events compared to history.

Simply put, climate is your personality and weather is your mood. Being grumpy doesn't mean you're an a-hole but being grumpy all the time means you are an a-hole.
This post was edited on 1/30/19 at 9:56 am
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84081 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 9:59 am to
quote:

Based on physics.

Imperfect models yes, but "speculation" informed by physics.


What exactly do you mean by this? Better yet, can you just answer my question of which predictions should be trusted? And which previous specific predictions have played out as predicted?

ETA: Do not take my questions as denying the entirety of climate change, because that isn't what this is.
This post was edited on 1/30/19 at 10:00 am
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
13624 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 10:05 am to
quote:

No, it’s pretty much just climate change now. You people politicizing everything are the worst.


Climate change, huh? They are called weather seasons. In the fall/ winter it’s cold and rains a lot, like the last several months. In the summer it’s hot and dry, like it will be from May until August or September. It’s been like this since before you were born and will be like this after we are all long gone.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35610 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 10:16 am to
quote:

What exactly do you mean by this?


I mean that the projections are based on our understanding of how CO2 and other greenhouse gases prevent radiation from leaving the atmosphere. The impact of solar cycles on the amount of radiation that gets to earth. That increased cloud cover from the increase in water vapor from a warmer ocean may reduce the solar radiation that reaches the ground. How the increase in ocean temps and melting ice will impact the ocean currents that circulate heat from the equator to the poles.

The projections have a basis in our understanding of the underlying physics.

quote:

Better yet, can you just answer my question of which predictions should be trusted?


Harder question because it depends on the modeling and assumptions. You have to consider the aggregate of information. Warmer planet, more extremes in weather. More droughts. Shifting of where extreme weather happens, see tornadoes in the southeast vs tornado alley (recent study, would wait for more data to fully confirm this is happening). Just like one weather event doesn't support climate change, one study doesn't either. The orgy of evidence suggests sea levels will rise, drought will be more common in certain places, flooding in others.

quote:

And which previous specific predictions have played out as predicted?


Increases in frequency of flooding events globally is a good start, and exactly what you'd expect from a warmer background.

quote:

Do not take my questions as denying the entirety of climate change, because that isn't what this is.



I'm not. I'm trying to explain there is a strong theoretical framework that informs the predictions. They won't always be right and as more information is available there will be shifts in projections. Modeling is imperfect but that shouldn't dismiss everything we have.
Posted by MLCLyons
Member since Nov 2012
4709 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 10:31 am to
Extreme storms is definitely a sign of global warming both cold, hot, wet, and dry.

How is this even still an argument? The only "science" debunking global warming is paid for by oil companies and other special interest groups.
Posted by Displaced
Member since Dec 2011
32711 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 10:33 am to
quote:

Extreme storms is definitely a sign of global warming both cold, hot, wet, and dry.
was the dust bowl caused by global warming?
Posted by Centinel
Idaho
Member since Sep 2016
43334 posts
Posted on 1/30/19 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Extreme storms is definitely a sign of global warming both cold, hot, wet, and dry.



It is? Got some data to back this up?
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