re: Major Louisiana Flood Event

Koran Johnson Rd

Stay safe man

I'm not that Fletch...

for real

From NWS Shreveport:

quote:

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THIS WOULD RESULT IN SOME LOCATIONS RECEIVING
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR OR OVER 2 FEET.

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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
402 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

.DISCUSSION...
MAJOR TO NEAR RECORD FLASH FLOODING IS ONGOING ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 IN EAST TEXAS AND
LOUISIANA. SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN CADDO AND BOSSIER PARISHES HAVE
RECORDED OVER 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL AS OF 8 AM CST THIS MORNING
AND IT HAS CONTINUED TO RAIN ALL DAY TODAY. MULTIPLE FLASH FLOOD
EMERGENCIES ARE IN EFFECT AND A FEW RIVER AND LAKES ARE ALREADY
EXPECTED TO APPROACH OR EXCEED RECORD STAGE LEVELS.
UNFORTUNATELY...MORE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED.

AS OF 2130Z...THE HEAVIEST RAIN IN THE CWA IS GENERALLY EAST OF
A LINE FROM TOLEDO BEND TO EL DORADO ARKANSAS. SOME OF THE HIGHER
RESOLUTION MODELS SUGGEST THIS WILL BE WHERE THE AXIS OF HEAVY
RAIN WILL REMAIN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE HRRR PLACES
THE AXIS ABOUT 50 MILES FARTHER WEST. LOOKING AT RADAR LOOPS OVER
THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN IS LOCATED
BETWEEN INTERSTATE 35 AND 45 SOUTH OF DALLAS/FORT WORTH AND MORE
STRONG CONVECTION IS JUST OFFSHORE BETWEEN MATAGORDA BAY AND
GALVESTON ALONG THE TEXAS COAST. ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING
WITH A NOTABLE NORTHWARD COMPONENT. UNLESS THERE IS SOME
CONVECTIVE FORCING ALONG THE COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA OR
SOME KIND OF MCV DEVELOPMENT WITHIN THESE COMPLEXES...I AM
DOUBTFUL OF THE MORE EASTWARD PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVY RAIN AS
SUPPORTED BY THE ARW AND A FEW OF THE HI-RES WRF MODELS BASED ON
LATEST TRENDS.

THEREFORE...OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...I HAVE PLACED THE PRIMARY
AXIS OF HEAVY RAIN...WHICH SHOULD OCCUR FROM 00Z-12Z THURSDAY...
SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM LUFKIN TEXAS TO EL DORADO ARKANSAS. A
DISTINCT PLUME OF HIGH PWAT VALUES...WELL OVER 2 INCHES...WILL
REMAIN OVER THE AREA. THUS...AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 9 INCHES OF RAIN
CAN BE EXPECTED IN THIS AREA...WITH SOME ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO
10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS WOULD RESULT IN SOME LOCATIONS RECEIVING
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR OR OVER 2 FEET. THIS WILL ADD TO
AN ALREADY HISTORIC FLASH FLOODING EVENT. WE WILL LIKELY BE
DEALING WITH RIVER AND LAKE FLOODING FOR SOME TIME AFTER THIS.
THE HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THE RAIN WILL NOT BE OVER.

IF THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT WAS NOT ENOUGH...A THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER STILL EXISTS TONIGHT MAINLY EAST AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
JACKSONVILLE AND ATLANTA TEXAS...TO MAGNOLIA ARKANSAS. ISOLATED
TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

THE CUT OFF UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN STATIONARY OVER
CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL KEEP DRAWING MOISTURE
NORTHWARD AND RESULTING IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BY
LATE SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY...THE TROUGH WILL WEAKEN AND OPEN AS
A KICKER SHORTWAVE TROUGH QUICKLY DIVES SOUTHEAST INTO NORTH TEXAS
AND THEN EJECTS EASTWARD ALONG THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR. FROM
LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...RAINFALL SHOULD GENERALLY BE
CONFINED TO THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE CWA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM
THIS WEEKEND`S SYSTEM SHOULD ONLY BE AROUND AN INCH AS THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WHILE VIGOROUS...SHOULD BE FAST-MOVING.

SHORTWAVE RIDGING SHOULD BRING AN END TO THE RAIN FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. A LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE COUNTRY DURING THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL BRING ANOTHER COLD FRONT AND MORE
RAIN CHANCES BACK INTO THE AREA.

/09/

Currently renting out my house in Dogwood South as I now live in Texas. Anybody have any updates from there? Evacuations just a precaution or are things getting serious?

Alexandria is not getting much at all for now. Looks like west and north are getting drenched.

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Currently renting out my house in Dogwood South as I now live in Texas. Anybody have any updates from there? Evacuations just a precaution or are things getting serious?

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It is pretty bad there.

Red is Flood Warning and Green is Watch

It really is, we were forecasted for a bunch. But it just keeps sliding to the west

I bet we haven't got an inch or so at my house,