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Started By
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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - July 6, 2020 Update: 66,327 cases - 3,188 deaths - 813,645 tested
Posted on 7/6/20 at 8:39 pm to hendersonshands
Posted on 7/6/20 at 8:39 pm to hendersonshands
quote:
decide for yourself
Vox is one of the worst media outlets going. Worse than CNN or MSNBC
1
Posted on 7/6/20 at 8:46 pm to Cosmo
I'm not really vouching for Vox here, but most of the info is cited.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 8:57 pm to hendersonshands
I think that theory from Vox holds a lot more water than most deniers want to believe.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 9:51 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
I think that theory from Vox holds a lot more water than most deniers want to believe.
Just like when VOX theorized we were 2 weeks behind Italy?
VOX article saying other countries are going to be like Italy
VOX is total shite and probably the most biased "reporting" I've ever seen. I wouldn't believe a word these people say ever. In fact take what they say and assume the total opposite.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 10:14 pm to borotiger
I looked at the cdc website. Which still says pandemic. Which is why I asked for backing of his statement. How dare I ask for more info.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 10:16 pm to hendersonshands
See this is what pisses me off about Vox. They present shite as fact and it's total bullshite. Their entire article is based on bullshite.
When in fact the time to death as per CDC is no where near 4, 5 or 6 fricking weeks.
Mean number of days from symptom onset to death (standard deviation)
Source: Preliminary COVID-19 estimates, CDC§
0-49 years: 14.9 (7.7) days
50-64 years: 15.3 (8.1) days
=65 years: 12.9 (7.6) day
LINK
frick you Vox
quote:
It’s not a matter of a one-week lag between cases and deaths. We expect something more on the order of a four, five-, six-week lag.”
When in fact the time to death as per CDC is no where near 4, 5 or 6 fricking weeks.
Mean number of days from symptom onset to death (standard deviation)
Source: Preliminary COVID-19 estimates, CDC§
0-49 years: 14.9 (7.7) days
50-64 years: 15.3 (8.1) days
=65 years: 12.9 (7.6) day
LINK
frick you Vox
Posted on 7/6/20 at 10:18 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
Some people do get infected and die quickly, but the majority of people who die, it takes a while,” Murray continued. “It’s not a matter of a one-week lag between cases and deaths. We expect something more on the order of a four-, five-, six-week lag.”
quote:
I think that theory from Vox holds a lot more water than most deniers want to believe
quote:you have lost all potential credibility of trying to be impartial
fightin tigers
That article is filled with horseshite all over
This post was edited on 7/6/20 at 10:20 pm
Posted on 7/6/20 at 10:23 pm to hendersonshands
quote:
most of the info is cited.
We’ve reached the point with covid that there are “stats” and “peer reviewed articles” that can “prove” any point you wish to make.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 10:25 pm to lsupride87
quote:
That article is filled with horseshite all over
But it was cited. It is complete bullshite cited by complete bullshitters but someone read it on the internet so it was cited.
People are so fricking gullible. Not one link to a study just some rando saying "we expect it to be 6 weeks" and they fricking believe it.
This post was edited on 7/6/20 at 10:27 pm
Posted on 7/6/20 at 10:50 pm to Cosmo
quote:
We’ve reached the point with covid that there are “stats” and “peer reviewed articles” that can “prove” any point you wish to make.
Yeah, I agree with that. I just posted it because it was the opposite of what people have been posting here.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 10:52 pm to hendersonshands
That Vox article was the equivalent of the posters on here who wishcast every hurricane to be Katrina x10
Posted on 7/6/20 at 10:55 pm to hendersonshands
quote:
just posted it because it was the opposite of what people have been posting here.
It it’s completely wrong. Why would you post it just to be a contrarian?
Posted on 7/6/20 at 11:17 pm to Oilfieldbiology
Completely wrong shite is posted here all of the time. The answer is usually somewhere in between.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 11:20 pm to Sun God
People have been wish casting this thing since March
Posted on 7/6/20 at 11:23 pm to hendersonshands
True, as has been the case with nearly all reporting across every platform on covid.
The “four, five, six week” line seems particularly egregious though.
The “four, five, six week” line seems particularly egregious though.
This post was edited on 7/6/20 at 11:24 pm
Posted on 7/6/20 at 11:24 pm to Sun God
I’ve got a bad feeling about tomorrow’s numbers.
Posted on 7/6/20 at 11:32 pm to Sun God
quote:
The “four, five, six week” line seems particularly egregious though.
It does seem a bit outlandish, but if you look at the linked CDC data...
quote:
Mean number of days from symptom onset to death (standard deviation)
0-49 years: 14.9 (7.7) days
50-64 years: 15.3 (8.1) days
=65 years: 12.9 (7.6) days
Let's make it a round 2 weeks, 14 days.
quote:
Mean number of days from death to reporting (standard deviation)
0-49 years: 7.1 (7.7) days
50-64 years: 7.2 (7.7) days
=65 years: 6.6 (7.3) days
Let's call it another week.
That's 3 weeks for a death to show up. If you add in that it can sometimes take a week or so before you get sick after being infected, that 4 week timeframe isn't too far off.
I'm not a math guy though, so let me know if I'm interpreting the data incorrectly.
This post was edited on 7/6/20 at 11:34 pm
Posted on 7/6/20 at 11:39 pm to hendersonshands
Five or six weeks would seem to be an outlier to me.
I think 4 weeks is reasonable but like you said the data provided is all over the place.
I think 4 weeks is reasonable but like you said the data provided is all over the place.
Posted on 7/7/20 at 6:34 am to tgrbaitn08
I explained it in my op.
Open testing to all so that we can know the real contraction rate. If only ssymptomatic people get tested then the contraction rate is perverted to be higher than it really is.
Open testing to all so that we can know the real contraction rate. If only ssymptomatic people get tested then the contraction rate is perverted to be higher than it really is.
Posted on 7/7/20 at 6:39 am to hendersonshands
States with increased cases are seeing increased deaths. Shocking, I know.
We have a daily thread about how nationwide deaths are decreasing, but just ignore that a good portion of the country is still shut down.
Pointing out that death is a lagging indicator brings on downvotes these days. How lagging is debatable.
We have a daily thread about how nationwide deaths are decreasing, but just ignore that a good portion of the country is still shut down.
Pointing out that death is a lagging indicator brings on downvotes these days. How lagging is debatable.
This post was edited on 7/7/20 at 6:41 am
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