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re: Louisiana COVID-19 - April 6, 2020 Update: 14,867 Cases - 69,166 tested - 512 dead

Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:06 pm to
Posted by beardedzeus
NOLA
Member since Mar 2006
4474 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:06 pm to
for sure. wish the tunnel was closer but still positive trend
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73674 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:06 pm to
quote:

no way but to view these numbers as fantastic



I have faith a doomer will be here shortly
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
40025 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:06 pm to
Looking good
Posted by Frenchdip
Member since Jun 2019
128 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:07 pm to
Tuesday’s number will say a lot... numbers on Monday are typically low.
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
44874 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:08 pm to
There we go
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
40025 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:09 pm to
I mean you either died on that day or you didn’t
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 12:10 pm
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
37355 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:10 pm to
If these vent numbers are accurate, this is an insane drop in Region 1 (New Orleans).




ETA: Corrected the numbers
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 12:25 pm
Posted by BiggerBear
Redbone Country
Member since Sep 2011
2917 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

Fatality rate 3.44%


So this rate seems to be nothing more than a running tab that isn't really close to whatever the actual chance is of dying from the virus, especially if the denominator includes everyone with a recent diagnosis, i.e., without knowing their outcome. It also seems that it would be even more affected if undiagnosed people were counted, i.e., its probably significantly lower. Is there a specific methodology for determining a death rate that would be expected to provide a more a accurate picture of the odds of dying from the virus at this point? Or do we just have to wait until widespread testing for antibodies to figure out how many people actually recovered?
Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

The problem is that the fear mongers are about to run out of porn

"Fear-mongering" led to proactive social distancing measures. Said measures led to these lower numbers. The numbers are great but we wouldn't be looking at the same low numbers had Bourbon Street, etc. remained open. And, yes, the economy will recover.
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 12:11 pm
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97613 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:11 pm to
How long should we keep it up to keep numbers low?
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
37355 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

So this rate seems to be nothing more than a running tab that isn't really close to whatever the actual chance is of dying from the virus, especially if the denominator includes everyone with a recent diagnosis, i.e., without knowing their outcome. It also seems that it would be even more affected if undiagnosed people were counted, i.e., its probably significantly lower. Is there a specific methodology for determining a death rate that would be expected to provide a more a accurate picture of the odds of dying from the virus at this point? Or do we just have to wait until widespread testing for antibodies to figure out how many people actually recovered?


It's a completely useless number at this point. The true percentage of people who die of this is way lower than 3%.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166123 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

If these vent numbers are accurate, this is an insane drop in Region 1 (New Orleans).


there's an old saying... "you can't ventilate the dead"
Posted by tigerskin
Member since Nov 2004
40025 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:12 pm to
The 4/6 numbers don’t seem right if you try and add them up (doesn’t make sense for both ventilator use and available to both go way down).
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 12:13 pm
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
82010 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

Collin County, Texas, US
hi neighbor
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
53555 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

The 4/6 numbers don’t seem right if you try and add them up



The "Available" number is wrong.
Hell, that whole column looks dickered.
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 12:14 pm
Posted by Unknown_Poster
Member since Jun 2013
5758 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

How long should we keep it up to keep numbers low?

Edwards has already kept the guideline in place until the end of this month. Personally, I would evaluate the numbers in a week and potentially start easing some restrictions. As long as people can do common sense stuff like wash their hands.
Posted by Shaun176
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2008
2465 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:14 pm to
quote:

If these vent numbers are accurate, this is an insane drop in Region 1 (New Orleans


New Orleans well over the peak. BR probably peaking this week.
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Tuesday’s number will say a lot... numbers on Monday are typically low.



BS. I am as serious about this virus as anyone, but you are obviously trolling.
Monday has been the big jump day traditionally, due to labs not being fully staffed on the weekends and data dumping on Monday morning.
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167089 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

There we go




GOTTA KEEP PUMPING THAT FEAR!!!!!!!
Posted by John88
Member since Sep 2015
6197 posts
Posted on 4/6/20 at 12:15 pm to
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