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re: Let's Do It Again: Severe Threat 3/30 - Line of Severe Storms leaving SELA. AL in it now

Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:45 pm to
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
18870 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:45 pm to
I believe it - im on a ridge across from double oak mountain , south of Birmingham and the wind here is screaming.....mary
This post was edited on 3/30/22 at 6:46 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147160 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:45 pm to
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10577 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:45 pm to
quote:

Bruce Katz is scaring the shite out of everyone in WP


Present
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

That’s how Katrina happened, a couple huge false alarms and people let their guards down

And it will happen over amd over and over.
It's science.
Posted by Nguyener
Kame House
Member since Mar 2013
21057 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:48 pm to
I’m assuming downscale is bad?

It sounds like you want something to downscale but then it says from squall to supercell?
Posted by Thracken13
Aft Cargo Hold of Serenity
Member since Feb 2010
18870 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:48 pm to
will the stuff popping in AL around Tuscaloosa sap out the actual line that is still in MS?
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
39931 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:48 pm to
Look out Hattiesburg
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64517 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:48 pm to
Looks like all north MS and South western TN tornado warnings have been dropped

Still prepared to be hammered by straight line winds
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

New tornado warning for a storm just southwest of Starkville, MS.

Improvements inbound!

I kid, I kid.
Hope everyone stays safe
This post was edited on 3/30/22 at 6:51 pm
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147160 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:48 pm to
quote:

I’m assuming downscale is bad?

It sounds like you want something to downscale but then it says from squall to supercell?

downscaling from a line to individual cells could raise the big tornado potential
Posted by Crimson1st
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2010
21122 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:50 pm to
quote:

It sounds like you want something to downscale but then it says from squall to supercell?


Correct, you don’t want the line to break apart and crank up the supercells. That’s what caused the NO tornado last week.
Posted by Abstract Queso Dip
Member since Mar 2021
5878 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:51 pm to
quote:

They will likely re-warn that Natalbany storm


The dirty dirty in union county won't have none of that. Y'all on even know.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64517 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:51 pm to
It being a QLCS my guess is no but the main line seems to be transitioning away from being a tornado issue to just being a wind issue, of course that could change
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75186 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:51 pm to
Nasty.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75186 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:53 pm to
quote:

It being a QLCS my guess is no but the main line seems to be transitioning away from being a tornado issue to just being a wind issue, of course that could change

For your area that's the likely progression.

Down South, we are seeing a transition to a more broken line.
Posted by Wishnitwas1998
where TN, MS, and AL meet
Member since Oct 2010
64517 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:53 pm to
Yea I’m bad about that

I should be clear that applies to North MS/southern TN
This post was edited on 3/30/22 at 6:54 pm
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
23036 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:54 pm to
Well that's not promising
Posted by Nguyener
Kame House
Member since Mar 2013
21057 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:56 pm to
quote:

Well that's not promising


Looks like the same line as last time. Good thing I love anxiety….
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147160 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:56 pm to
just feel that this could help some people out

you know how an event that is currently evolving is called a "fluid situation"?

weather is literally a "fluid situation" 24/7/365
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 3/30/22 at 6:57 pm to
Ok. We dont want this line to break because its awful sheary, we have good surface moisture and instability at this point (though less than last week). Those individual cells can better tap the potential of the environment and would be able to updraft from the surface.


In other words, a broken line brings a tornado threat into play.
This post was edited on 3/30/22 at 6:58 pm
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