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Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:07 am to rds dc
nice convective flareup with an eye becoming semi apparent, i think we have hurricane marco now
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:10 am to DVinBR
Damn Marco is really trying. Cat 2 possible?
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:11 am to rmnldr
quote:
Damn Marco is really trying. Cat 2 possible?
I doubt it. GFS dissipates Marco at the coast.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:14 am to DVinBR
But it looks like it’s moving straight north and the clouds around New Orleans look like they are headed NE.
Crazy.....
Crazy.....
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:15 am to dukke v
quote:
But it looks like it’s moving straight north and the clouds around New Orleans look like they are headed NE.
That's the upper level flow you see pushing NE and what's bringing the shear.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:16 am to loogaroo
quote:Weird since it looks like Marco has been gaining a little strength.
GFS dissipates Marco at the coast.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:17 am to Bayou_Tiger_225
quote:
Weird since it looks like Marco has been gaining a little strength.
Small circulation means the globals aren't picking it up as it wanes on approach.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:18 am to Bayou_Tiger_225
Watch tomorrow be a nice breezy day in Baton Rouge with just a few rain showers. It’s already happened once this season, it was so forgetful that I don’t remember the name and I think it was even a hurricane!
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:18 am to Bayou_Tiger_225
Lot of shear right now.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:18 am to BigB0882
quote:
It’s already happened once this season, it was so forgetful that I don’t remember the name and I think it was even a hurricane!
It was a 40 mph TS.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:19 am to rds dc
I have a fishing trip in Grand Isle for Thursday-Sunday. Is that probably not happening now?
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:20 am to BigB0882
Oh, and the GFS initialized too far north so not sure what to make of that run. Perhaps landfall is accurate but it was weaker because it rode Cuba the entire length and with a more southerly initialization it could skim the southern coast and even possibly stay over water in the Caribbean. So I definitely don’t buy the strength of that GFS run and it’s possible landfall could be off as well.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:20 am to sk8ing_tiger
12z UKMET wallops Cameron Parish and Lake Charles
TROPICAL STORM LAURA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N 72.7W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132020
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 23.08.2020 0 19.4N 72.7W 1004 33
0000UTC 24.08.2020 12 19.9N 76.7W 1000 43
1200UTC 24.08.2020 24 21.3N 80.4W 999 43
0000UTC 25.08.2020 36 22.8N 84.0W 995 42
1200UTC 25.08.2020 48 24.1N 87.2W 989 55
0000UTC 26.08.2020 60 25.6N 90.0W 981 60
1200UTC 26.08.2020 72 27.5N 92.4W 958 74
0000UTC 27.08.2020 84 29.7N 93.8W 945 80
1200UTC 27.08.2020 96 32.4N 93.9W 970 43
0000UTC 28.08.2020 108 34.7N 93.2W 981 32
1200UTC 28.08.2020 120 36.5N 91.6W 983 42
0000UTC 29.08.2020 132 37.6N 88.1W 979 42
1200UTC 29.08.2020 144 38.3N 82.0W 978 27
TROPICAL STORM LAURA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N 72.7W
ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132020
LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 23.08.2020 0 19.4N 72.7W 1004 33
0000UTC 24.08.2020 12 19.9N 76.7W 1000 43
1200UTC 24.08.2020 24 21.3N 80.4W 999 43
0000UTC 25.08.2020 36 22.8N 84.0W 995 42
1200UTC 25.08.2020 48 24.1N 87.2W 989 55
0000UTC 26.08.2020 60 25.6N 90.0W 981 60
1200UTC 26.08.2020 72 27.5N 92.4W 958 74
0000UTC 27.08.2020 84 29.7N 93.8W 945 80
1200UTC 27.08.2020 96 32.4N 93.9W 970 43
0000UTC 28.08.2020 108 34.7N 93.2W 981 32
1200UTC 28.08.2020 120 36.5N 91.6W 983 42
0000UTC 29.08.2020 132 37.6N 88.1W 979 42
1200UTC 29.08.2020 144 38.3N 82.0W 978 27
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:21 am to Duke
quote:
It was a 40 mph TS.
Oh, damn. Was it ever a hurricane? Lol. No wonder I don’t remember it’s name.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:21 am to BigB0882
Must be thinking of Barry from last year.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:22 am to BigB0882
quote:
Was it ever a hurricane?
It was 40 mph max.
Posted on 8/23/20 at 11:23 am to Bobby OG Johnson
Thanks Bobby OG for posting the storm surge data.
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