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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 4/30/22 at 12:01 am to StormyMcMan
Posted on 4/30/22 at 12:01 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
which its expected a General Mobilization and a Declaration of War against Ukraine will be declared.
Does a declaration of war give the Russian government the ability to basically start a draft? Putin is living 40+ years in the past and he can’t let it go IMO because he longs for the days of the past.
2
Posted on 4/30/22 at 1:26 am to gizmothepug
Good twitter thread on the prospect of Russian mobilization. TL;DR, Russia doesn't have the infastricture and cadre to train a mass levy and doesn't have any way to equip them. LINK
Posted on 4/30/22 at 4:07 am to TigersnJeeps
quote:the question in my mind is that they even bothered…RU with a 2.5 Xs wounded rate doesn’t seem too bothered to collect their own…
I wonder how many women it would take to move him..... equality and all that..
Posted on 4/30/22 at 4:09 am to gizmothepug
They have a draft, of which 38% have bothered to show up for the spring call up.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 4:29 am to Jim Rockford
Arguably the most humiliating loss (and there have been many humiliations) of this war for RU happened this week. The scrapping of the fake referendums on independence for the occupied regions in the Donbas. The Russians realized there was essentially zero support among the “liberated” the notion 1 million have been deported against their will to Russia is a war crime. Ukrainians have had a much better 36 hrs. BTW I was told contrary to my angry missive against MSNBC for tipping the hand of Allied nations about weapons, intelligence apparently media like WSJ and CNN and Fox aren’t reporting stuff until after the fact ie after deliveries are made or mostly made. I’ve been reassured by this, probably should have clued to the idea I was just hearing stuff a few hours before reportage came out.
This post was edited on 4/30/22 at 7:13 am
Posted on 4/30/22 at 7:07 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
Russia doesn't have the infastricture and cadre to train a mass levy and doesn't have any way to equip them.
In WW1, Imperial Russia sent men into battle without guns. Soldiers were told to pick up weapons when their comrades fell.
This post was edited on 4/30/22 at 3:37 pm
Posted on 4/30/22 at 7:13 am to Mr Happy
Better than total human wave in Korean War where Chinese were told to wave sticks or their arms in the air to draw fire until somebody in the back popped up with a gun.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 7:44 am to LSUCanFAN
Did you see my question from a few pages back? I was wondering what you meant by 100k being the ‘magic number’.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 8:27 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
quote: The British Ministry of Defense has reportedly seen indications that Russian President Putin is preparing a Statement for May 9th during the Victory Parade in Moscow, which its expected a General Mobilization and a Declaration of War against Ukraine will be declared. LINK
This doesn’t feel like good news on the whole. Sure they’ve vastly underperformed, but this gives them more men to throw at the problem, even if just literally. Does this also further open the door for potential official help from what Allie’s they have left? Potentially, does this also move a Romania or Poland to more directly join the fray?
I’m certain this also means many more tens of billions in western equipment to Ukraine.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 8:28 am to Mr Happy
quote:
In WW1, Imperial Russia sent me into battle without guns. Soldiers were told to pick up weapons when their comrades fell.
Damn baw how old are you?
Posted on 4/30/22 at 8:53 am to DabosDynasty
quote:
???????? | Russian Far East: Fire at GRES-2 Power plant in Sakhalin this morning LINK
Posted on 4/30/22 at 9:29 am to DabosDynasty
quote:
This doesn’t feel like good news on the whole. Sure they’ve vastly underperformed, but this gives them more men to throw at the problem, even if just literally. Does this also further open the door for potential official help from what Allie’s they have left? Potentially, does this also move a Romania or Poland to more directly join the fray?
No. Russia has made it crystal clear what that would trigger. Ukraine isn’t NATO, and Romania and Poland don’t want none of that smoke.
The only way any other country will become directly involved is if NATO signatories are attacked.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 9:40 am to Warfox
quote:
and Romania and Poland don’t want none of that smoke.
If Transnistria turns hot, I think Romania is going to be seriously calculating their physical involvement. Moldova May even outright ask them for help. Then what?
Posted on 4/30/22 at 9:44 am to StraightCashHomey21
quote:
Establishing air superiority with drones is stupid and unrealistic
It might be a dumb idea know but it makes for good writing in science fiction books.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 9:48 am to DabosDynasty
quote:
If Transnistria turns hot, I think Romania is going to be seriously calculating their physical involvement. Moldova May even outright ask them for help. Then what?
Russia won’t be expanding outside of Ukraine.
It’s a non-starter; because, again: No one will risk involvement unless a NATO signatory is directly attacked.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 10:44 am to StormyMcMan
quote:
Russian Far East: Fire at GRES-2 Power plant in Sakhalin this morning
Japan ready to party like it’s 1939.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 10:47 am to Warfox
Twitter
Interesting thread on the state of the war, and discussion on the impact of the Russian blockade in the Ukraine economy both currently and in the future.
Thesis: with only rail available Ukraine is limited to 10% of its export capacity. While Ukraine can have success on the ground, as of now they can’t threaten the Black Sea fleet in its entirely.
Interesting thread on the state of the war, and discussion on the impact of the Russian blockade in the Ukraine economy both currently and in the future.
Thesis: with only rail available Ukraine is limited to 10% of its export capacity. While Ukraine can have success on the ground, as of now they can’t threaten the Black Sea fleet in its entirely.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 11:09 am to LSUCanFAN
quote:
They have a draft, of which 38% have bothered to show up for the spring call up.
That is pretty good for Russia. Of course Russia is also the ones putting out the stats so its probably 3.8%.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 11:33 am to WeeWee
Guys bad news. The ghost of Kyiv has been killed in combat. Good news is he destroyed 79 Russian aircraft before Ivan finally got him.
Posted on 4/30/22 at 11:35 am to ned nederlander
quote:
Russian Far East: Fire at GRES-2 Power plant in Sakhalin this morning
The question is is this some kind of sabotage campaign or is it just typical slapdick Russian industrial accidents that we don't ordinarily notice?
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