re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Forget money, just send weapons. More of them.

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Send Ukraine all of our male military age illegals.

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my homeopathic preferences

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the adderall

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Adderall ain't homeopathic.

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Shrapnel effects and other small damage, which can still be catastrophic to aircraft and equipment, simply do not show up in satellite imagery

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It's likely fragmentation warheads were used. Here's an example used in the Liutyi UAV.

"The drone’s warhead has a thick-walled metal body with large notches to inflict powerful fragmentation damage within the radius of the attack."



Liutyi UAV-Ukrainian Military Portal

But are they trained or just off the streets and into the frontline in small unit meat waves?

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What is funny about that? Patriots are the only western system that can intercept Russian ballistic and hypersonic cruise missiles.

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Requesting half of the US Patriot batteries isn't comical to you? That's beyond absurd

The problem, from a NATO security standpoint, is that Russia has significantly increased its military spending, including significant enhancements to its defense industrial base. If Russia were allowed to win in Ukraine, then it would become much, much more of a threat than before, especially after it started drafting Ukrainians and incorporating Ukrainian military tech. Moldova would almost immediately come under Russian control, whether directly or indirectly, linking Transnistria to Russia again. Control of all of the northern Black Sea would boost Russia economically and significantly threaten Romania and Bulgaria.

On the other hand, if Russia loses in Ukraine, then it faces immediate economic devastation, likely political revolution and/or regional independence movements, and its military would likely take 20 years to recover.

We still have people who don't understand how this war matters.

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Dont know if this has been posted yet.... quote:Russia has rebuilt its military after suffering enormous losses during its invasion of Ukraine, according to a U.S. State Department official.

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I don’t think it has been posted or discussed yet.

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Fresh off claiming Avdiivka in mid-February—Russia's first major victory since the fall of Bakhmut in May 2023—the loss of so many vehicles in one fell swoop is a callback to the early errors, and sky-high armored losses, that Moscow suffered in the first phase of its full-scale invasion two years ago.

"There are some similarities between this Russian attack near Tonenke and those Russian assaults early in the war," said Bryden Spurling, senior research leader for defense and security with the European branch of the RAND think tank.

"It's surprising that the column in Tonenke mostly used a single road and didn't appear to use the open ground [on] either side and spread its forces out, though it looks like some vehicles did try to disperse," he told Newsweek.

The Russian crews may have been worried about muddy terrain or mines, he added, saying: "Either way, these were significant losses of tanks and infantry fighting vehicles."

"Near Tonenke, we saw almost the same mistakes from their side as near Vuhledar in the previous year," Major Victor Tregubov, a Ukrainian journalist and editor who now serves in the Ukrainian military, told Newsweek.

Vuhledar, a small village in southern Ukraine, was the scene of intense clashes for several weeks in the early part of 2023. Ukrainian officials told The New York Times at the time that it was the "biggest tank battle of the war so far."

Analysts previously told Newsweek that organizational and planning failures plagued Russia's first armored assaults during its initial invasion in 2022. Ruptures in the chain of command, poor training and heavy initial casualties left few Russian soldiers to train the next generation of tank crews.

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Russia may have rebuilt its forces, but it has not learned from its tactical failures. That means thousands of Russians will continue to die and have very little if anything to show for it. Ever since April of 2022, Russia has only had three victories, Severodonetsk, Bakhmut, and Avdiivka and has suffered terrible losses to gain those victories. At this rate, Russia will reach Kharkiv by 2028 and after sustaining a couple of million casualties if it doesn’t change up its tactics. On the positive side, Sir Winston may finally be able to get to Russian girlfriend.

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“We have assessed over the course of the last couple of months that Russia has almost completely reconstituted militarily,” said Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell at an event hosted by the Center for a New American Security.

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these are the "experts" like Chaim "Bill" Kristol that StormyMcCain and GOPe_Tiger revere so much

British Defence Intelligence
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 07 April 2024

The average daily number of Russian losses (killed and wounded) in Ukraine reduced by 74 per day throughout March 2024, to 913 per day.

The decrease in losses corresponds with fewer reported attacks over the past month. The reduction in Russian offensive operations highly likely reflects a series of factors: a period of rest and refit following the capture of Avdiivka, and intent to reduce death notifications during the Russian election.

Since the February 2022 invasion, Russian forces have sustained 658 losses a day on average. Each year has seen a rise in the daily average loss rate from 400 in 2022, to 693 in 2023, to 913 through the first quarter of 2024.The increase reflects Russia's ongoing reliance on mass to sustain pressure on Ukrainian frontlines.