re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Looks like the Russians logistical problems in the south are bigger than just the bridges over the Dnieper.

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It's mind blowing to me that after a hundred years of being known for their shitty logistics they still haven't emphasized logistics.

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It’s clearly what they’re waiting for. Russia has the cards to make their populace shiver to death. Russia also has their young men on the line unlike any other country outside of Ukraine. You really think you can outlast them on that? It’s clearly an intentional stalemate by Russia until winter comes. It is their most steadfast ally.

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So in your expert opinion the weather and resulting terrain favors the invaders?

Take a lap, bro.

I just love how idiots like you always say “how’s the great Kherson offensive going” doesn’t make you think you sound like a jackass. How’s it going? Do you expect them to just infantry charge headlong into a force with a 10:1 advantage in artillery, armor and aircraft? I know that’s the great Russian military doctrine to send waves of cannon fodder to be slaughtered but not everyone is stupid enough to play that game. What would you do to a country who lives and dies by its rail lines and “dumb” artillery when you have the advantage and means to hit further back and more precise targeting than the enemy does? Do you just sit and let Russia grid bomb the country to pieces with it’s 50 year old howitzers? No, you use the strength of your army which is precise HIMARS strikes on ammunition dumps, logistics and command/control sites behind the lines with the help of western intelligence until you’ve choked off their artillery ammunition supply and routes of ingress and egress. Hard to deny that strategy isn’t working right now.

I don't like these videos and generally avoid posting them while I see dozens a day this struck me about the effectiveness of these little drone bomblets. Even as a grunt on terra firma golden BBs were out there but there is something highly disconcerting about the coming drone wars.

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British Defence Intelligence
UPDATE ON UKRAINE 15 August 2022
INTELLIGENCE UPDATE

On 11 August 2022, Russian media reported that Denis Pushilin, head of the so-called Donetsk People's Republic (DPR), had said that the date of a referendum on the DPR joining Russia will be announced after the DPR's 'complete liberation'.

Previously, in June 2022, investigative journalists published evidence of a DPR planning strategy for running such a referendum and for ensuring that at least 70 per cent of votes were in favour of joining Russia. It is likely that Russia is in the advanced planning stages to hold a referendum, though it is unclear if the final decision to go ahead with a vote has yet been taken.

The Kremlin will likely see the military's failure to occupy the entirety of Donetsk Oblast thus far as a setback for its maximalist objectives in Ukraine.

Germany is at 75% of storage filled, and expects 95% by Nov 1.

A full 1/3 of Russia's economy is exports to Europe. It is impossible to just shift that to other regions

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There are plenty of people in Europe with my mentality when it comes this war and aren’t going to put up with that shite.

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Should the economy continue on its current trajectory, no one here will care in 6 months either. The war is hurting normal people who don't give a shite.

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Despite concern over what is happening in Ukraine, there is little support among the American public for military intervention. A poll conducted over the past weekend found that only 26% believe the United States should play a major role in the situation between Russia and Ukraine. About 51% believe the country should play a minor role, and 20% say the United States should not be involved at all.

"It's very clear that the American voter is tired of expending blood and treasure," Berman said.

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This was toward the beginning. The longer it drags on, the more it costs, the less support it will have.

It doesn't work.

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The close affinity between recipients of aid and the security concerns of donors ensures the success of neither.

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The whole Russia will roll in the winter idea is just laughable

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The West will be supplying the Ukes. Russia will be supplying the Orcs. Gotta go with the Ukes for the win.

(no message)

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Should the economy continue on its current trajectory, no one here will care in 6 months either. The war is hurting normal people who don't give a shite.

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Biden’s massive spending legislation, Biden’s anti oil rhetoric and policies, and not the war is causing our economic issues here in the US.