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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:31 am to rds dc
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:31 am to rds dc
Well shite, so what you're saying is that it could just as easily be Louisiana as Florida? Am I reading that correctly? It's late September/early October. We're supposed to have 90 degree fall days during that time, not hurricanes.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:32 am to lsugolfredman
quote:
Levi and Tidbits already bracing for the meltdown.
They've already melted down. I haven't see the full model run at all yet this morning because it won't load.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:32 am to deltaland
quote:
Do you think it’s a bias, or actually plausible due to the shear from Fiona coming from the NE? I could see the shear causing convection to be away from the center to the SW and it pulling the center that direction as Fiona moves away.
If it isn't a bias, that's exactly what would cause it. The reason it is a bit dubious is due to where exactly the convection is fired.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:33 am to TDsngumbo
We are ridin with the euro itt
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:34 am to sp22
quote:
We are ridin with the euro
Yea, unless it's the one that caves

Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:36 am to rds dc
quote:
biases of each model do give me some pause.
Nah, hit play not pause.
Give us hope
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:37 am to S
Just closed on a ranch outside bozeman old sport. Might have to head up there.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:39 am to Cosmo
quote:
Just closed on a ranch outside bozeman old sport. Might have to head up there.
Did your private meteorologist tell you to head up there? If so, I'm worried.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:40 am to jimithing11
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 2:39 pm
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:42 am to SWLA92
quote:
It’s almost impossible to read through the BS. It’s a shame because there’s a couple people on there that know and give valuable info but that other 90% are complete idiots
I'm one of the complete idiots, although I try to ask questions to learn and understand, and do not try to post bogus hype from social media.
Anyway, once this thing forms a center, I'm in favor of two stickies - a general discussion thread, and one where only Duke and a handful of other trusted TD weather dudes post solid information and everyone else is locked out from posting (if such a thing is possible)
This post was edited on 9/22/22 at 10:43 am
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:43 am to lsugolfredman
Yep and so far, the GFS is slightly north of it's previous run and about the same strength. Hopefully that's the beginning of it caving to the EURO.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:43 am to TheFonz
quote:
Anyway, once this thing forms a center, I'm in favor of two stickies - a general discussion thread, and one where only Duke and a handful of other trusted TD weather dudes post solid information.
Sounds like a liability issue waiting to happen
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:44 am to lsugolfredman

F me, this does not look good for the Cape, I'm heading down on Saturday and will be there until next Sunday hopefully. At least if it develops I'll be down there to board the house up.
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:45 am to BhamBlazeDog
quote:
F me, this does not look good for the Cape, I'm heading down on Saturday and will be there until next Sunday hopefully. At least if it develops I'll be down there to board the house up.
Thank you for this detailed update on your life that only you care about
Posted on 9/22/22 at 10:45 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
Yep and so far, the GFS is slightly north of it's previous run and about the same strength. Hopefully that's the beginning of it caving to the EURO.

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