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Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:38 pm to Duke
They were really lined up together yesterday which according to my guy gave him a high degree of confidence of it going into the gulf and he has already stated GFS has a hard on for me and that “Pascagoula to Pensacola “ landfall target which I swear I have heard at least 3 dozen times in my lifetime.
Going fishing tomorrow, while I still can and leave this with you guys to make it not so. Lol.
It’s Florida’s turn
Going fishing tomorrow, while I still can and leave this with you guys to make it not so. Lol.
It’s Florida’s turn
Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:40 pm to TheFonz
quote:
How come on Tropical Tidbits, sometimes the Euro run is only 90 hours out, while at other times is goes way beyond that?
The 0z and 12z runs are the full runs.
The 6z and 18z are partial runs.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:42 pm to deuce985
quote:
Unless you believe the Canadian model which has a hard-on for Louisiana
Even the Canadian model would have almost no affect on Lafayette.
ETA: that would probably be a pretty nice day for Lafayette

This post was edited on 9/21/22 at 1:46 pm
Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:47 pm to bad93ex
quote:
I think we could source about 1k Yeti and RTIC coolers to carry the ice.
And all were gifts, no one on the OT has ever purchased a cooler over $15
Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:47 pm to Sput
quote:
And all were gifts, no one on the OT has ever purchased a cooler over $15

Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:48 pm to Sput
The run on tropical tidbits of the GFS model has it more west than it did.....more of a biloxi/mobile bay landfall
Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:50 pm to BallsEleven
quote:
The 0z and 12z runs are the full runs.
The 6z and 18z are partial runs.

Posted on 9/21/22 at 1:56 pm to longhorn22
quote:
run on tropical tidbits of the GFS model has it more west than it did.....more of a biloxi/mobile bay landfall
Still florabama
Posted on 9/21/22 at 2:00 pm to alabamabuckeye
12z euro hasn’t even run to that point yet it’s only on hour 48
Posted on 9/21/22 at 2:03 pm to maisweh
quote:
Still florabama
wasn't it more to the west coast of FLA on other runs?
It definitely gets under NOLA then makes a turn (assuming that will be the front guiding it)
Posted on 9/21/22 at 2:04 pm to Duke
quote:
That feeling when the Euro is coming in east of the GFS.
The 12z Euro run seems pretty reasonable. Fiona and the incoming trough carve out a pretty big weakness along the EC. 98L would have to slip pretty far to the SW to miss that.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 2:05 pm to alabamabuckeye
Oh that’s new I haven’t used that
Posted on 9/21/22 at 2:09 pm to rds dc
quote:
The 12z Euro run seems pretty reasonable. Fiona and the incoming trough carve out a pretty big weakness along the EC. 98L would have to slip pretty far to the SW to miss that.
In English....
I'm guessing this means less powerful than the GFS and to the east?
Posted on 9/21/22 at 2:13 pm to alabamabuckeye
quote:
So odd, Euro has it east, brushing Key West and up the west coast of FL. That’s a relatively hard north turn before Cuba.
Looks to me like the Euro backs away an upper low to the west in front of it. The move tugs the storm north near Cuba and then the steering we expect to pull it north takes over.
Posted on 9/21/22 at 2:16 pm to gaetti15
quote:
complete opposite this far out
But he doesn't know what he's looking at.
Therefore, just look at the runs...it's basically the pretty version of the models.
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