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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/20/22 at 1:48 pm to
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
14575 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 1:48 pm to
seriously doubting cold front putting temperatures in the 50s in louisiana at the end of september

would be nice though
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 1:50 pm to
Would be nice to have an early fall and winter for a change.
Posted by alabamabuckeye
Member since Jun 2010
22247 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:00 pm to
12z ECMWF running now
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1928 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:00 pm to
Done running baw. Cat 2/3 into Tampa
Posted by Python
Member since May 2008
6480 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

seriously doubting cold front putting temperatures in the 50s in louisiana at the end of september

It happened last year. Low 50’s in fact.
Posted by Tornado Alley
Member since Mar 2012
27674 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:01 pm to
quote:

seriously doubting cold front putting temperatures in the 50s in louisiana at the end of september


Just to be that guy, the recorded low at MSY on September 30, 2020, was 58 degrees.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
48615 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:05 pm to
12z Euro is running. Gonna be interesting to see what it shows. Glad we have more access to it now without having to pay for it.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
96638 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

Done running baw. Cat 2/3 into Tampa


That was the old euro
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
96638 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:16 pm to
So far it’s running weak. No LLC through hour 84
Posted by alabamabuckeye
Member since Jun 2010
22247 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:19 pm to
CMC still has it further west and weaker into TX looks like, still waiting on Euro. GFS moved it back west a little into the panhandle area. As a Tampa resident, sweating bullets.
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10387 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

rds dc


quote:

Duke


quote:

**Potential Gulf Threat**


Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
42828 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:22 pm to
If Levi's site is correct Gaston will be here in the North Atlantic at 4 so this wave will be Hermine if it develops
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
65777 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:23 pm to
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1928 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:23 pm to
12z Euro Ensembles really clear the air on landfall....

Posted by alabamabuckeye
Member since Jun 2010
22247 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:24 pm to
Can someone explain that graphic to me? Do the bigger circles correlate to higher confidence or something?
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:26 pm to
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
66007 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:27 pm to
quote:

CMC

fricking Canucks....
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1928 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:30 pm to
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
48615 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:31 pm to
12z Euro Monday morning. Likely tropical storm south of Cuba.

This post was edited on 9/20/22 at 2:32 pm
Posted by alabamabuckeye
Member since Jun 2010
22247 posts
Posted on 9/20/22 at 2:31 pm to
Hm okay, so if we are aggregating, looks like lower MS/AL/panhandle get it?
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