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re: I am going to attempt to blow your minds about people and birthdays
Posted on 1/13/15 at 8:57 pm to Dr. Shultz
Posted on 1/13/15 at 8:57 pm to Dr. Shultz
My wife and I share a birthday but I'm nine years older. Naturally its our anniversary as well. Kind of screwed ourselves on the presents.
Posted on 1/13/15 at 9:03 pm to lsu480
Nice job getting their birthdays. Now tell me again how we get their mothers maiden name?
Posted on 1/13/15 at 9:34 pm to novabill
You're very very wrong and I have lost the ability to fathom what you think you're arguing. If you have 367 or more people in a room. AT LEAST 2 of them share a birthday, there is no arguing that, it's a fact and you don't even need math. I'm not going to explain it as many already have in this thread. Let me simplify it, if you have 32 people in a room, at least 2 of them will have the same birth day number of the month. If you have 8 people in a room at least two of them will have been born on the same day of the week. If you have 25 people in a room at leaf two of them will have been born at the same hour in the day. If you have 118 people in a room (accounting for oldest living person at 116 and a newborn baby) at least two of them will have been born in the same year. 13 people guarantees at least two in the same month.
This post was edited on 1/13/15 at 10:21 pm
Posted on 1/13/15 at 11:08 pm to QJenk
quote:
Meh, In my entire life, I have only met two people with my birthday, so it kind of is unlikely
That's not true
Posted on 1/13/15 at 11:09 pm to Rebel
quote:
Nice job getting their birthdays. Now tell me again how we get their mothers maiden name?
You must have missed where they ordered Cialis from me!
Posted on 1/13/15 at 11:31 pm to novabill
quote:
Is it possible. Yes it is possible.
I would agree that practically speaking, it is impossible, but statistically speaking there is a chance.
What are the odds that no one shares a birthday out of 10 people? out of 100? out of 1,000 or 100,000?
Each of those numbers have a statistical probability that no one will share a birthday. You tell me when that probability hits zero. What is the number?
You're really not getting this?
Think of it this way. How many rolls of a die does it take to get 100% certainty that there will be a repeat? We would say 7 because the first 6 could be unique but the 7th will have to be one of the 6 that were already rolled.
In the birthday example, think of one person walking into the room at a time, then announcing his or her birthday until there is a repeat. If the first 366 individuals had unique birthdays, every possible birthday would be accounted for. So the 367th person has to result in a repeat.
This post was edited on 1/13/15 at 11:35 pm
Posted on 1/13/15 at 11:34 pm to buckeye_vol
quote:
Think of it this way. How many rolls of a di does it take to get 100% certainty that there will be a repeat? We would say 7 because the first 6 could be unique but the 7th will have to be one of the 6 that were already rolled. In the birthday example if the first 366 had unique birthdays, every possible birthday has been accounted for. So he 367th person has to result in a repeat.
That's obvious. What's crazy about this problem is at 70 people it's at 99.9% but it takes until 367 to get to 100%!
Posted on 1/13/15 at 11:40 pm to lsu480
quote:
That's obvious. What's crazy about this problem is at 70 people it's at 99.9% but it takes until 367 to get to 100%!
Yeah when I learned about it a probability course, I found it quite counter-intuitive. I had to think of it similar to my edited post with individuals walking into a room announcing their birthdays until there is a match. The second person in a room has one possible match but the third has two possible matches and slightly higher probability of matching. As this rises cumulatively we quickly get to 99%. Still seems crazy though when I don't think it through.
This post was edited on 1/13/15 at 11:56 pm
Posted on 1/14/15 at 12:07 am to lsu480
There were two other guys in my grade in middle school that had the same birthday as me. Class total was around 80. Wonder what those odds are.
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