re: Zeta - The cleanup begins

While I admit things got a little uncouth for a bit, and there was some rather distasteful banter about, I'm not so sure I prefer the country club vibe that has now overtaken this potential hurricane thread, either.

Oh, my! I can not wait!

My white palomino steed has been galloping at a Taurean Minor-esque pace in anticipation.

1. A broad area of low pressure near the Lesser Antilles continues to
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms,
mainly to the east of its center. Strong upper-level winds are
expected to inhibit significant development while the system moves
west-northwestward over the next couple of days. Regardless of
development, the system could produce locally heavy rainfall and
gusty winds across portions of the Lesser Antilles tonight and
Thursday morning, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and the eastern
Caribbean Sea late Thursday into Friday, and Hispaniola Friday
night into Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. A broad non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form over
the weekend several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Some slow
development will be possible thereafter into early next week
while the system moves southwestward and then westward, passing
about midway between Bermuda and the northern Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. A broad area of low pressure could form by early next week over
the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Some gradual development of the
system will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly
west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Stewart

We just got power back .. 5 days without and honestly it was all good. Gas/generator//window unit/water/food cooked on the grill -- and my neighbors with whole house generators were complaining.

It will be interesting to see what the NHC does here with 93L and the new area in the SW Caribbean. Technically, the 93L wave packet will merge with the new yellow area but the vort max might be far enough north that NHC designates a new invest for the SW Caribbean area.



Ultimately, there is a high chance that something will form in the WCAB in the next 6 - 10 days. Where does it go? Climo favors a track off to the NE as cool fronts start to get more frequent and dig deeper into the SE.



The 18z GEFS has a few clustered track potentials - Westward into the Yucatan or maybe the Gulf (the Canadian model has been showing this), northward into Florida, or off to the NE.

Too late for a doomcane to hit Florida they already rescheduled their game with LSU.

Let's just stick this one in the model runs of the year folder. This is not to be taken seriously or as a forecast in any way. It's just a funny solution. The 06z GFS-Para from today.





Oh no in the Gulf...



Now confused in the gulf.



frick it, I'm out. Right back over the Keys again.



Back to where it started.

HOW come the NHC website doesn't show anything at all in the GOM now? did it all dissipate?

theres not even a yellow X on the map!!