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re: Hurricane/Tropical Storm Idalia Discussion Thread

Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:22 pm to
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84294 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:22 pm to
Oh my God, that shark is on the interstate again!

Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23157 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:24 pm to
Any ideas as to why there isn’t even a tropical storm watch for the big bend?

I mean places like St George Island could be looking at a major hurricane and would need to start evacuating now via ferry to get everyone out in time and there isn’t any guidance for the county involved to plan?
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9339 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:29 pm to
Landfall is still more than two days out. Not expecting tropical storm conditions until early am wednesday
This post was edited on 8/27/23 at 12:31 pm
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46765 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

Any ideas as to why there isn’t even a tropical storm watch for the big bend?


The governor declared a state of emergency in the middle of the night. I don't know what specific steps have been implemented up there. The only time I went to SGI was by the big bridge. Good luck.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46765 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:34 pm to
quote:

Not expecting tropical storm conditions until early am wednesday




The NHC maps say it turns into a hurricane on Tuesday, sometime between 7 am and 7 pm.
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9339 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:37 pm to
Ok. Tropical storm conditions still won’t be felt ON LAND until Wednesday morning
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23157 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:43 pm to
quote:

Landfall is still more than two days out. Not expecting tropical storm conditions until early am wednesday

My understanding was a late day landfall on Tuesday which would mean tropical storm winds would be present for 6+ hours prior to that.

It being almost 2pm ET, they seem well within the window and most local governments rely on the NHC guidance to justify evac orders etc.

Maybe they are hoping for better model guidance for an afternoon update before pulling the alarm?
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9339 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:44 pm to

What part of this map tells you landfall will be on Tuesday?
Posted by OysterPoBoy
City of St. George
Member since Jul 2013
44693 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:47 pm to
What are the odds they cancel the LSU game?
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46765 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Ok. Tropical storm conditions still won’t be felt ON LAND until Wednesday morning


That big H at 7 am Wed., just offshore stands for Hurricane.
This post was edited on 8/27/23 at 12:50 pm
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42567 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

What are the odds they cancel the LSU game?


20%????
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9339 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:49 pm to
Wow. I thought you were trolling but it’s pretty clear you’re just ignorant.
Posted by ticklechain
Forgotten coast
Member since Mar 2018
834 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:50 pm to
Why not use the bridge? I'm not sure there is a ferry for SGI.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46765 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:52 pm to
quote:

I thought you were trolling but it’s pretty clear you’re just ignorant.



Maybe your genius arse can explain why the fricking hurricane hitting Wednesday morning will just be tropical storm force winds, Dickhead.
Posted by trussthetruzz
Member since Sep 2020
9339 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:55 pm to
My response was to tide06, who was asking why a tropical storm watch had not been issued yet. They are issued 48 hours before tropical storm conditions are expected on land. My point is not what the winds will be like. Obviously it’s bringing hurricane force winds
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18049 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 12:56 pm to
That's not what he's saying. The original question was why aren't TS watches/ warnings being issued. His response was that we're still out of the window for TS watch being issued.

quote:

Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.


Posted by Tigris
Cloud Cuckoo Land
Member since Jul 2005
13122 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 1:01 pm to
It's not as good for trout, or especially reds. But I'm less than 10 miles from 4 salt water launches. A pretty decent beach is about 20 minutes and a great one takes an hour. Scalloping an hour away. Some nice spring fed rivers make for excellent kayaking. Grouper off shore. Lots of deer, some black bears, saw a bobcat out of my window yesterday. There are things I miss about Louisiana, but this place suits me.
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
10339 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 1:02 pm to
My wife is on Davis Island right now and is supposed to catch a flight out of Tampa to Dallas at 2pm on Tuesday. I’m guessing that’s probably going to get delayed. Can someone give me some insight here? Thanks.
Posted by Hangit
The Green Swamp
Member since Aug 2014
46765 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.


So they will probably start issuing those tonight for the winds that will be hitting tuesday evening at Fort Meyers, Bradenton, etc?

Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
23157 posts
Posted on 8/27/23 at 1:09 pm to
There will be tropical storm force winds on the peninsula of Florida within 48 hours if those models hold true, agreed?

My point and concern is that most barrier islands close their bridges once that threshold is reached so any evacuations must be completed before the outer bands arrive, not when actual landfall occurs.

Delaying watches and warnings is a concern because that delays counties from issuing guidance which shortens the window for people to get out and I can tell you the level of concern isn’t very high in some areas of the cone right now.

Again, this might be academic if they update this afternoon but it just seemed strange for a storm that was going to parallel the peninsula of FL not to have any watches yet.
This post was edited on 8/27/23 at 1:10 pm
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