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re: Hurricane Season - We back - NHC 10% Gulf Action

Posted on 7/18/25 at 4:13 pm to
Posted by Mr Roboto
Member since Jan 2023
7351 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 4:13 pm to
Posted by PerplenGold
TX
Member since Nov 2021
2220 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 5:11 pm to
quote:

Jefferson Terrace Elementary


Wow, haven’t heard that name in ages. Went to kindergarten there. Lived on Hackberry. Rode bike to school. Good times. Thx for the flashback.

Back on topic, keep that trashy system away from TX. K, thx.
Posted by jorconalx
alexandria
Member since Aug 2011
10723 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 5:47 pm to
Yea Nick blew that one big time
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21074 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 6:48 pm to
It doesn't really look like 93L, as it appears the remnant vort max of 93L gets shunted off the East Coast. It looks like a similar gnesis pathway as something might try to spin up on the tailend of an stalled front. Also, there might be a short lived MDR system.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21074 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 6:51 pm to
quote:


Yea Nick blew that one big time


There was some hi-res model support for isolated higher totals, but the MCS that blew up over CenLa probably kicked off enough subsidence to keep things in check.
Posted by jorconalx
alexandria
Member since Aug 2011
10723 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

There was some hi-res model support for isolated higher totals, but the MCS that blew up over CenLa probably kicked off enough subsidence to keep things in check


Talk to me like I’m 5 please.
Posted by CrazyTigerFan
Member since Nov 2003
3554 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 8:10 pm to
It rained less than the upper end of predictions because weather conditions changed.
This post was edited on 7/18/25 at 8:11 pm
Posted by Mr Roboto
Member since Jan 2023
7351 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 8:13 pm to
Pretty elementary stuff there
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
72099 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 8:16 pm to
quote:

Talk to me like I’m 5 please.

The mess of storms that developed over central Louisiana caused the air at higher levels in the atmosphere to cool and sink, leading to drier air along the more coastal areas that kept the rain and storms from reaching their ceiling and dumping higher totals of rainfall.
This post was edited on 7/18/25 at 8:17 pm
Posted by jorconalx
alexandria
Member since Aug 2011
10723 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 8:17 pm to
I’m sure both you retards knew what a Mesoscale Convective System was
Posted by jorconalx
alexandria
Member since Aug 2011
10723 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 8:17 pm to
Thank you
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
100830 posts
Posted on 7/18/25 at 9:27 pm to
quote:

Talk to me like I’m 5 please.


It was a big nothingburger
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
104456 posts
Posted on 7/19/25 at 11:39 pm to
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216209 posts
Posted on 7/19/25 at 11:41 pm to
Would not surprise me.
Posted by LSUEnvy
Hou via Lake Chas
Member since May 2011
12570 posts
Posted on 7/20/25 at 12:55 am to
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43225 posts
Posted on 7/22/25 at 6:50 pm to

North-Central Gulf:
A trough of low pressure on the southern end of a frontal boundary
is currently located just offshore of the Southeastern U.S. coast.
Over the next few days, this system is forecast to move
west-southwestward into the north-central portion of the Gulf, where
environmental conditions could allow for some slow development if
the system remains far enough offshore. By this weekend, the system
is likely to move inland, ending its chances for development.
Regardless of formation, heavy rainfall could be possible for
portions of the northern Gulf coast through this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
133722 posts
Posted on 7/22/25 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

I’m sure both you retards knew what a Mesoscale Convective System was
Isn't that what they make tequila from???
Posted by cgrand
HAMMOND
Member since Oct 2009
46872 posts
Posted on 7/22/25 at 7:07 pm to
need some rain in Hammond America
Posted by Drank
Member since Jun 1864
Member since Dec 2012
12191 posts
Posted on 7/22/25 at 7:26 pm to
quote:

I’m sure both you retards knew what a Mesoscale Convective System was


Isn’t that the country they make Tequila in?
Posted by LurkerTooLong
Lakeview, NOLA
Member since Aug 2016
1934 posts
Posted on 7/22/25 at 7:40 pm to
Close, Mescal
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