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re: Tropical Storm Isaias - Heading Towards the Central Gulf Coast

Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:24 pm to
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
15886 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

RIP Pascagoula


Shipyard workers will still be coming into the office I bet
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22591 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:24 pm to
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34952 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

Can't wish it to go away you know what I mean


Yea I knew what you meant it’s just hard for me to say that
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
104766 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

forgot about that, but you're right. And I think I remember the AI models really being pretty decent last year. Were they not?


What’s gonna happen when AI hacks into HAARP and decides to steer hurricanes?
Posted by X123F45
Dictated not Read
Member since Apr 2015
30275 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:26 pm to
Which models were the spaghettis earlier that were 100 miles west?
Posted by ipodking
#StopTalkingAboutWomensSports
Member since Jun 2008
59351 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:27 pm to
So nothing for BR to worry about

Nice
Posted by Mr. Hangover
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2003
34952 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

those folks in new orleans/st bernard/plaquemines probably wouldn't want a potential Cat 2 knocking down their doors just for alittle rain (especially after parts of the city got 10+ inches of rain over the weekend)

I won’t speak for everyone in plaquemines, but where I’m at, I’m far more concerned with the wind than I am the water.. I know that probably makes zero sense but for my situation, that’s my concern. Wind speed and tornados
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
80517 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

So nothing for BR to worry about


20 Gustav references incoming
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
104766 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

lack the proper TD qualifications and credentials to be able to expound upon them here. I'll leave that to rds or legend.


Duke right now


Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
180848 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

So nothing for BR to worry about

Nice


its a shitty spot to be in this far out being barely outside the cone of uncertainty.
Posted by LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22591 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:29 pm to
Think you’re likely referencing the Euro or GFS Ensembles.

The first graphic in that tweet emphasis the Google Deep Mind AI models that have landfall vastly more east than the Ensembles (spaghetti plots) and the NHC guidance.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52408 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:29 pm to

Forgot about poor duke!
Posted by X123F45
Dictated not Read
Member since Apr 2015
30275 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:30 pm to
So do I trust the models or the AI

I'm leaning the models this time... Peejs fault
This post was edited on 10/6/26 at 4:31 pm
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
86282 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

Which models were the spaghettis earlier that were 100 miles west?


EPS


Correct me if wrong, but this is based off satellite and not hurricane hunter data, correct?

Seems like its a lot further west starting point than originally thought.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
180848 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:31 pm to
frick all those noodle lines riding the katrina track into LA
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52408 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

frick all those noodle lines riding the katrina track into LA

You realize a storm can take the exact same track and be a big flop.
Posted by Dtbtiger
Member since Oct 2024
338 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:32 pm to
quote:

Shipyard workers will still be coming into the office I bet
Ingalls didnt even shut down for a shooting. They aint shutting down for rain
Posted by Uncommon Idea
Member since Feb 2025
480 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:34 pm to
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
180848 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

You realize a storm can take the exact same track and be a big flop.


i ain't holding my hopes that the noodle line gonna be a flop. you?
Posted by TDsngumbo
Member since Oct 2011
52408 posts
Posted on 10/6/26 at 4:39 pm to
Brand new Korean model output is available












and one for OysterPoBoy

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