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re: Hurricane Season - 95L NHC 60% - Intertropical Convergence Zone Spin

Posted on 7/21/23 at 9:40 am to
Posted by elprez00
Hammond, LA
Member since Sep 2011
31312 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 9:40 am to
quote:

Surprise, surprise. Right at New Orleans. They don’t even try to hide it anymore. For those scoring at home make sure to draw that cone in pencil because she will be moving a lot.

When I was a kid Bob Breck was famous for this. I think it was Hurricane Georges that was literally hours from landfall in Florida and he’s on the news saying “we’re not out of the woods yet.”
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
112402 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 10:21 am to
quote:

Check out the GFS, guys!


well you can just go right on and frick yourself silly
This post was edited on 7/21/23 at 10:21 am
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39840 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 10:47 am to


Tiny storm. I'd reckon it intensifies quickly into a TS
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
11470 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 11:00 am to
quote:

Tiny storm. I'd reckon it intensifies quickly into a TS


Got to pad the stats each Hurricane season.

Next thing you know when two clouds touch in the Atlantic it will be calling it the next superstorm.
This post was edited on 7/21/23 at 11:00 am
Posted by threeputtforbogie
Addison, TX
Member since Sep 2017
976 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 11:01 am to
Seriously, its like the models have a SE Louisiana target they need to hit. Thing is on rails straight into NOLA.
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10532 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 11:21 am to
quote:




Posted by Clyde Tipton
Planet Earth
Member since Dec 2007
40543 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 11:28 am to
Cat 1 at landfall at best. Good soaking, rain maker for Central LA and MS.
Posted by longhorn22
Nicholls St. Fan
Member since Jan 2007
42888 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 11:34 am to
The accuracy of this is usually not great…

I’d imagine tomorrow’s run will be nowhere near Louisiana
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
71479 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 11:40 am to
quote:

The accuracy of this is usually not great…

I’d imagine tomorrow’s run will be nowhere near Louisiana


Tomorrow's run? The 06z GFS killed it completely. The 12z developed it briefly south of Puerto Rico before killing it.
Posted by SantaFe
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2019
7608 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 11:41 am to
These folks want some new artwork in their corporate office.

Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
129184 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 12:02 pm to
Andddddd its gone
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
138911 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 12:10 pm to
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216117 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 12:14 pm to
Oh boy…..
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
16638 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 12:21 pm to
Hurricane possibly forming and the Biden Administration wants to ban gas powered generators.

Are these people insane?

https://thefederalistpapers.org/us/proposed-new-biden-rule-essentially-bans-portable-gas-powered-generators-currently-market
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21035 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 12:42 pm to
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jul 21 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Don, located over the central Atlantic.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
A small area of low pressure, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, is producing an area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical
Atlantic. Although there is dry air located to the north of
the system, favorable upper-level winds are expected to allow for
gradual development during the next several days. This system
could become a tropical depression early next week, as it moves
westward across the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Kelly/Brown
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
49830 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 12:43 pm to
Dude really
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61274 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

Got to pad the stats each Hurricane season
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 12:45 pm to
spoke too soon
Posted by TutHillTiger
Mississippi Alabama
Member since Sep 2010
49830 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 12:49 pm to
How many millions of dollars of improvement will a cat 1/2 due to New Orleans.

If it hits BSL again they need to hire a NA to ward off the curse. Of course, when you build on a super ancient Indian burial ground the local tribes in the 1700s avoided like the plaque and called it “Devils Bayou” or something like that etc you are kinda asking for it.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
61274 posts
Posted on 7/21/23 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

How many millions of dollars of improvement will a cat 1/2 due to New Orleans.


How about you frick off? How about that?

And it’s sad that this has to be said, and the usuals know this on the OT, but it’s waaaaay to soon to even think about where this system may go.
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