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Message
1
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:11 pm to GEAUXmedic
Euro doesn't do too much with the system as it cross the Gulf, that seems like a good sign.
quote:
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:11 pm to Chad504boy
I think it depends how strong or not it gets...very least I think it will be breezy all over South Louisiana should this track verify.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:11 pm to rds dc
IMO it may be underestimating the intensity. I could see it bombing, for sure.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:13 pm to GEAUXmedic
GFS: Morgan City
Euro: New Orleans
Euro sitting west two straight runs.
Euro: New Orleans
Euro sitting west two straight runs.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:13 pm to MorbidTheClown
quote:
These things were a lot more exciting before i had shite to lose.
Yep. My kids were already talking about a four day weekend (they have tomorrow off for the parish fair). I used to be the same way when I was their age.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:16 pm to GEAUXmedic
For comparison, 12z GFS @ 7AM Sunday morning:
12z Euro @ 7AM Sunday morning:
GFS roughly 90 miles to the west of the Euro.
12z Euro @ 7AM Sunday morning:
GFS roughly 90 miles to the west of the Euro.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:17 pm to Duke
At the rate it keeps shifting west you have to wonder if it becomes a W LA threat. It has been shifting west since yesterday almost every run.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:19 pm to slackster
90 miles is as good as it gets in terms of agreement.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:19 pm to slackster
quote:
GFS roughly 90 miles to the west of the Euro.
That is pretty good agreement at that range but doesn't mean they won't change.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:19 pm to rds dc
quote:
Euro doesn't do too much with the system as it cross the Gulf, that seems like a good sign.
The wave near Fla straights interacting with Nate when he comes up into the gulf? Haven't looked at the nitty gritty of the run though, just a guess at what the Euro might be seeing.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:19 pm to TheFonz
Terrebonne Parish
Consolidated Government Tropical Storm Nate Update
Houma (October 5, 2017) – The Terrebonne Parish Consolidated Government is closely monitoring Tropical Storm Nate. A declaration of emergency for the Parish was signed this morning by Parish President Gordon Dove. All Parish Departments are currently beginning preparations for a tropical system to impact Terrebonne Parish to ensure the safety, health and welfare needs of the citizens and property of Terrebonne Parish.
As per the current National Hurricane Center forecast, we are asking all residents to begin preparations for tropical storm force or Category 1 hurricane strength winds to impact Terrebonne Parish. All preparations should be completed by Saturday afternoon as the Parish could experience tropical storm forces winds during the early morning hours on Sunday, October 8th.
The Terrebonne Parish Public Works Division will provide sand and sandbags at the following locations:
Adult Softball Complex on Airbase Cannata’s West
Knights of Columbus Hall in Pointe-aux-Chenes Upper Dularge Fire Station
Bayou Black Fire Station Ward 7 in Chauvin
West Terrebonne East Fire Station West Terrebonne Central Fire Station
Bobtown Volunteer Fire Station Mechanicville Gym
St. Ann Church in Bourg Devon Keller Memorial Center
Village East Fire Department
All schools in the Terrebonne Parish School District, TARC, and the Fletcher Technical Community College WILL be OPEN tomorrow, Friday, October 6th. The Terrebonne Parish Council on Aging will be open with normal operations on Friday, October 6th.
Terrebonne Levee and Conservation District has closed the following floodgates: Boudreaux Canal, Bayou Terrebonne, Humble Canal, Upper Little Caillou Auxiliary Structure, and Placid Canal. The following floodgates will be closed beginning tomorrow: Bush Canal, Lower Dularge, Bayou Black, Bayou Grand Caillou and Pointe Aux Chenes. The Bayou Petit Caillou and the Bubba Dove Houma Navigation Canal floodgates are scheduled for closure on Saturday morning, October 7th. Please continue to monitor the TLCD website at www.tlcd.org for up-to-date information on floodgate operations..
Residents should continue to stay informed through local news media, the Terrebonne Parish Consolidated Government website (www.tpcg.org), and the Terrebonne Parish Office of Homeland Security website (www.tohsep.com), Facebook page and Twitter page to obtain the latest information available.
Lafourche Parish
Tropical Storm Nate
Post Date: 10/05/2017
For Immediate Release: Tropical Storm Nate
In preparation for #TSNate, the Parish President has declared a State of Emergency
effective 12 p.m. 10-5-17.
Lafourche Parish Government will provide residents up to 25 pre-filled sandbags as
supplies last at the following field office locations during standard business hours (6am-
5pm) today and tomorrow.
Thibodaux Field Office: 2565 Veterans Blvd.
Raceland Field Office: 129 Texas St
Choctaw Field Office: 122 Choctaw Road
Bayou Blue Field Office: 104 Myrtle Place
Lockport Field Office: 6236 Hwy 308
Galliano Field Office: 128 West 97th Street
In addition, sand and bags are available for self-fill by residents at all field offices
and the following satellite locations 24-7 (bring shovel):
Lafourche Fire District #3 Central Station: 17462 West Main, Galliano
Oak Ridge Community Park: Golden Meadow
Lockport Field Office: 6236 Hwy 308, Lockport
Raceland AG Grounds parking lot: Texas Street
Thibodaux Field Office: 2565 Veterans Blvd.
Bayou Blue Recreation Grounds: Hwy 316 South of Hwy 182
Choctaw Field Office: 122 Choctaw Barn Road
Bayou Bouef Bridge: Hwy 307
Chackbay Fair Grounds: Hwy 304
Residents are advised to pick up all loose items from their yards which may be blown
around by the potentially high winds. In addition, please check all the ditches and catch
Consolidated Government Tropical Storm Nate Update
Houma (October 5, 2017) – The Terrebonne Parish Consolidated Government is closely monitoring Tropical Storm Nate. A declaration of emergency for the Parish was signed this morning by Parish President Gordon Dove. All Parish Departments are currently beginning preparations for a tropical system to impact Terrebonne Parish to ensure the safety, health and welfare needs of the citizens and property of Terrebonne Parish.
As per the current National Hurricane Center forecast, we are asking all residents to begin preparations for tropical storm force or Category 1 hurricane strength winds to impact Terrebonne Parish. All preparations should be completed by Saturday afternoon as the Parish could experience tropical storm forces winds during the early morning hours on Sunday, October 8th.
The Terrebonne Parish Public Works Division will provide sand and sandbags at the following locations:
Adult Softball Complex on Airbase Cannata’s West
Knights of Columbus Hall in Pointe-aux-Chenes Upper Dularge Fire Station
Bayou Black Fire Station Ward 7 in Chauvin
West Terrebonne East Fire Station West Terrebonne Central Fire Station
Bobtown Volunteer Fire Station Mechanicville Gym
St. Ann Church in Bourg Devon Keller Memorial Center
Village East Fire Department
All schools in the Terrebonne Parish School District, TARC, and the Fletcher Technical Community College WILL be OPEN tomorrow, Friday, October 6th. The Terrebonne Parish Council on Aging will be open with normal operations on Friday, October 6th.
Terrebonne Levee and Conservation District has closed the following floodgates: Boudreaux Canal, Bayou Terrebonne, Humble Canal, Upper Little Caillou Auxiliary Structure, and Placid Canal. The following floodgates will be closed beginning tomorrow: Bush Canal, Lower Dularge, Bayou Black, Bayou Grand Caillou and Pointe Aux Chenes. The Bayou Petit Caillou and the Bubba Dove Houma Navigation Canal floodgates are scheduled for closure on Saturday morning, October 7th. Please continue to monitor the TLCD website at www.tlcd.org for up-to-date information on floodgate operations..
Residents should continue to stay informed through local news media, the Terrebonne Parish Consolidated Government website (www.tpcg.org), and the Terrebonne Parish Office of Homeland Security website (www.tohsep.com), Facebook page and Twitter page to obtain the latest information available.
Lafourche Parish
Tropical Storm Nate
Post Date: 10/05/2017
For Immediate Release: Tropical Storm Nate
In preparation for #TSNate, the Parish President has declared a State of Emergency
effective 12 p.m. 10-5-17.
Lafourche Parish Government will provide residents up to 25 pre-filled sandbags as
supplies last at the following field office locations during standard business hours (6am-
5pm) today and tomorrow.
Thibodaux Field Office: 2565 Veterans Blvd.
Raceland Field Office: 129 Texas St
Choctaw Field Office: 122 Choctaw Road
Bayou Blue Field Office: 104 Myrtle Place
Lockport Field Office: 6236 Hwy 308
Galliano Field Office: 128 West 97th Street
In addition, sand and bags are available for self-fill by residents at all field offices
and the following satellite locations 24-7 (bring shovel):
Lafourche Fire District #3 Central Station: 17462 West Main, Galliano
Oak Ridge Community Park: Golden Meadow
Lockport Field Office: 6236 Hwy 308, Lockport
Raceland AG Grounds parking lot: Texas Street
Thibodaux Field Office: 2565 Veterans Blvd.
Bayou Blue Recreation Grounds: Hwy 316 South of Hwy 182
Choctaw Field Office: 122 Choctaw Barn Road
Bayou Bouef Bridge: Hwy 307
Chackbay Fair Grounds: Hwy 304
Residents are advised to pick up all loose items from their yards which may be blown
around by the potentially high winds. In addition, please check all the ditches and catch
This post was edited on 10/5/17 at 1:22 pm
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:20 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
IMO it may be underestimating the intensity. I could see it bombing, for sure.
The set up immediately prior to the Yucatan and immediately after is very favorable with ocean temps, and shear is very low once it crosses the Yucatan.
That being said, Nate has a long ways to go given his current setup, so hopefully its just too much for it to intensify greatly.
FWIW, the GFS takes the maximum winds to 65mph right before landfall on the 12z run. Let's hope it's no more than that.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:20 pm to Duke
IMO The Euro is predicting too much shear.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:20 pm to Taxing Tiger
quote:
You're a dumbass. It's fall break, the teachers are already off Monday and Tuesday. You've got no clue what teachers go through on a daily basis or how hard they work. Does one lazy teacher make them all lazy? Does one bad cop make them all bad? You're definitely the f-tard in this thread.
FOUND THE TEACHER!
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:21 pm to GEAUXmedic
quote:
IMO The Euro is predicting too much shear.
Why?
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:24 pm to Duke
I think it's amplifying the trough coming out of the Straits too much.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:24 pm to GEAUXmedic
This is where my placeholder is set to follow this thread closely. Thanks in advance to all of the knowledgeable posters on these storm threads. Peej needs to gtfo if he's lurking.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:27 pm to Duke
quote:
The wave near Fla straights interacting with Nate when he comes up into the gulf? Haven't looked at the nitty gritty of the run though, just a guess at what the Euro might be seeing.
That's the way it appears on the Euro. Dealing with the remnants of that wave as it nears the middle of the GOM:
Notice the wind barbs to the west of Nate in this image. They're not tightly wrapped around on the west side, and some winds are from the SE even though its on the W to NW side of the storm.
Posted on 10/5/17 at 1:28 pm to bee Rye
The game will be over by the time wedding starts. According to the rant it's already over
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