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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:08 pm to lsuwontonwrap
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:08 pm to lsuwontonwrap
has the NHC ordered FL, GA offices to send up more weather balloons?
1
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:09 pm to rt3
They are starting that tomorrow.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:11 pm to lsuman25
Looks like this fricking thing is making landfall Sunday night.
God damnit.
God damnit.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:12 pm to rds dc
quote:
UK also shifted west and is now around Pensacola. The 12z HWRF is a decent comprise of the 12z guidance. Potential is certainly there for a major but a lot of details to work out. Watching the wave moving westward through the Florida straights. Euro trended a bit towards the GFS with that feature. A more vigorous wave could allow Nate to get farther west.
Levi Cowen did a good job of discussing why this matters in his update tonight - LINK - but he didn't mention that there was a clear shift on the 12z Euro towards the GFS. These are very short range differences and we will know by tomorrow which 12z model run was more accurate. Hopefully, maybe even in the next hour, if the 00z GFS shifts toward the Euro.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:13 pm to ForeverGator
quote:
ForeverGator
quote:
Dumb is dumb.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:14 pm to rds dc
you thinking the GFS will shift east?
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:14 pm to rds dc
Here we go!
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:15 pm to lsuwontonwrap
quote:
hasn't it been edging west since this afternoon
Yes, but that's not an "edging" shift
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:16 pm to rds dc
quote:
These are very short range differences and we will know by tomorrow which 12z model run was more accurate. Hopefully, maybe even in the next hour, if the 00z GFS shifts toward the Euro.
what if the GFS does something super crazy... like a SWLA/ETX landfall
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:17 pm to lsuman25
quote:
you thinking the GFS will shift east?
I have no clue
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:18 pm to rds dc
I hear you..
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:31 pm to rds dc
GFS is like a woman pmsing lately
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:42 pm to ForeverGator
quote:
ForeverGator
I see you are as worthless in weather threads as you are on the SECR, keep quiet and let those that know do the talking.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:46 pm to Cosmo
So far into the 00z GFS, the Lousiana path looks the solution.
ETA: if there's much of Nate at all there. Really weak looking system at 68 hours. Same problems as earlier it looks like.
ETA: if there's much of Nate at all there. Really weak looking system at 68 hours. Same problems as earlier it looks like.
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 10:50 pm
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:49 pm to rds dc
Track keeps shifting west
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:52 pm to Duke
Hardly anything on the GFS..hopefully we learn something tomorrow with the track.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:52 pm to The Boat
yeah this GFS has like a weak tropical storm at most ramming into NOLA
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:55 pm to rt3
Wake me up when its plus cat 2 time...
Posted on 10/4/17 at 10:56 pm to lsuman25
GFS looks pretty fricked in the early stages. Same stronger wave in FL Straights and of course La path. The development of Nate is rachet though. Don't make a whole lot of sense. Same slop fest of 18z.
Posted on 10/4/17 at 11:02 pm to rt3
this GFS has the storm stronger over the Alabama/Tennessee border (1002mb) than when it makes landfall in Louisiana (1004mb)
This post was edited on 10/4/17 at 11:03 pm
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