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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:48 pm to
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:48 pm to
quote:

75 max

And yet again fear mongerers are out in full force




I hope you're right rocket, but Nate is a bit concerning at the moment.
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:48 pm to
They didn't "take a majority of Louisiana out of the cone." The cone shrinks as it gets closer to land. Because, as you know, it's a cone.
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43457 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:49 pm to
quote:

And yet again fear mongerers are out in full force


Gonna remember this for the morning tm.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179053 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:49 pm to
Still took out of cone
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:50 pm to
They are saying current movement is NNW at 22mph. I don't recall ever seeing a hurricane move that fast
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:50 pm to
We are a little over 24 hours until TD

I'm guessing the wind estimates are pretty damn solid by now

If not we have problems
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131604 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:50 pm to
Dont understand why the cone is so narrow on this one

Still feel in my heart landfall around grand isle as a cat 4
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 10:51 pm
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43457 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:50 pm to
Slack, Nate is just doing what every other Hurricane has done this season when given opportunity.

Harvey did it, Irma did it, Maria did it.....

It's just the trend imo.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:50 pm to
Ya I'll be sure to film it for everyone
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:51 pm to
That's nice and saturated. Balls.

Amazing how quickly this turned tonight. Went from a little elongated and not having a great core at like 8 and three hours later we're talking "pinhole eyes", "RI", and major hurricane.

One that's hauling arse too.
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:51 pm to
quote:

75 max And yet again fear mongerers are out in full force


Most of us are worried about the RI, not the current wind speeds per se.
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:51 pm to
Dude the storm is showing signs it's about to RI. That's not fear monger especially when just a few hours ago it was a tropical storm. We're not even 24 hours out before possible landfall and it's going to probably end up a bad one. The forecasts warned it every time with a pretty high probability.
Posted by CorkSoaker
Member since Oct 2008
9823 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:52 pm to
What? Seriously? Cat 4???
Posted by 50_Tiger
Arlington TX
Member since Jan 2016
43457 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:52 pm to
Sounds like the same thread from Harvey...

Nothingburger gets on roids.

We will see what Nate does. Hopefully he got some bonk shite.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

Dont understand why the cone is so narrow on this one



Cone is historical error out to 1 standard deviation. So 66% of the time the path is within the cone at a given time out, and 34% it is outside of it. The cone is not necessarily forecast uncertainty.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
91838 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:52 pm to
quote:

This one is challenging the NHC


It's moving too fast is the problem. There is no real time to recover from what would be a normal error on any given storm.

Intensity forecasts still have a ways to go.
Posted by MrSmith
Member since Sep 2009
8319 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:52 pm to
Guys, if it's not obvious, Cosmo is trying to troll as always.
Posted by shawnlsu
Member since Nov 2011
23682 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:53 pm to
What does RI stand for? Rapidly intensify?
Posted by lsuman25
Erwinville
Member since Aug 2013
43297 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:53 pm to
Nate is looking scary tonight
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
66950 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:53 pm to
OK, we are at page 117. I'm hoping by daybreak tomorrow we are no more than about page 120. If we are up to page 150 or so, the entire Gulf coast is f*cked.
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