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re: Hurricane Milton - The Cleanup Begins...

Posted on 10/5/24 at 8:26 am to
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
55817 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 8:26 am to
Yep and tourism dollars gonna take a massive hit
Posted by stout
Porte du Lafitte
Member since Sep 2006
182014 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 8:31 am to
Posted by CarolinaGamecock99
Member since Apr 2015
24814 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 8:36 am to
Posted by upgrayedd
Lifting at Tobin's house
Member since Mar 2013
138886 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 8:38 am to
Jesus
Posted by threeputtforbogie
Addison, TX
Member since Sep 2017
1007 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 8:47 am to
Dang, GFS was showing a weak storm last night and now it’s showing a 950ish landfall.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131452 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 8:51 am to
Hard to believe it can get to 950 with that upper level wind situation in Gulf but idk

Maybe the 50-60 kt winds out of west can help a storm thats moving east
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131452 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 8:52 am to
quote:

Yep and when they do everyone else’s premiums will probably not decrease.


Well yeah because everybody else is in a different risk pool
Posted by genuineLSUtiger
Nashville
Member since Sep 2005
77205 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:03 am to
That thing is going to sit and spin over the Gulf, blow up into a Cat 6 and then cover the entire country. HAARP is playing for keeps.
Posted by GeauxLSUGRL
Member since Nov 2014
769 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:06 am to
And y’all gave me hell for those twitter posts yesterday when I said WTF 2 systems hitting FL back to back? Crazy how it’s happening
Posted by Turnblad85
Member since Sep 2022
5505 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:12 am to
quote:

Soon insurance companies are just gonna stop offering insurance to anyone along the gulf coast.




Would you want to be responsible for possibly repairing or replacing someone's 400k house on the coast for 5k a year?

I'd be shitting my britchez
Posted by roadGator
DeBoar’s dome
Member since Feb 2009
157610 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:13 am to
$5k a year?



Maybe 10 years ago.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131452 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:14 am to
quote:

Special Message from NHC
Issued 5 Oct 2024 14:08 UTC

NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression Fourteen, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, at 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC).


Cone incoming!



Posted by Turnblad85
Member since Sep 2022
5505 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:14 am to
quote:


That thing is going to sit and spin over the Gulf, blow up into a Cat 6 and then cover the entire country.




Fyi, this is my official prediction and warning. Prepare for it, but If it doesn't come to fruition, then be grateful you were spared.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131452 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:16 am to
The hurricane models right now are silly

HWRF spins it into a Cat 4 before it even leaves the BoC
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
131452 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:27 am to
Any thoughts rds? See you lurking and ignoring my TD premium DMs
This post was edited on 10/5/24 at 9:28 am
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:30 am to
Just over 24hrs ago, the NHC had lowered this all the way to 30%
Posted by PetroAg
Member since Jun 2013
1892 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:36 am to
I have zero faith in the NHC after this more than one day out. They had beryl hitting Mexico and <30% chance of forming to 80% and cat 3 in less than 24 hours. No one knows
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:39 am to
quote:

I have zero faith in the NHC after this more than one day out. They had beryl hitting Mexico and <30% chance of forming to 80% and cat 3 in less than 24 hours. No one knows


I'm not knocking the NHC; just pointing out that there is still a lot we don't know.
Posted by BigPerm30
Member since Aug 2011
31989 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:44 am to
We need to name one of these Kamala. They both bring wreckage and destruction to our beautiful country.
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
21486 posts
Posted on 10/5/24 at 9:58 am to
quote:

Hard to believe it can get to 950 with that upper level wind situation in Gulf but idk

Maybe the 50-60 kt winds out of west can help a storm thats moving east


Combination of things, the upper-level pattern has trended more favorably, with the trough in the NE a bit deeper and slower and a potentially stronger system earlier. The trough changes make the jet & tropical system interaction more favorable, and a stronger system is more resilient to shear.
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